Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: match statistics
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Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Schalke 04 play Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Veltins-Arena.
Current form
Schalke 04: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mainz 05: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Schalke 04 scores 0.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 2.60 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Schalke 04 40%, Mainz 05 60%. Over 2.5: Schalke 04 60%, Mainz 05 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
xG, shots and style
Mainz 05 has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.17. Schalke 04: 10.4 shots per match, Mainz 05: 19.2.
Match halves
Schalke 04: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Mainz 05: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Schalke 04: 16-30 (2 goals). Mainz 05: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mainz 05 is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 1.4 pts / match - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 225% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 2.6 goals / match - Mainz 05
Schalke 04 is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 2 goals / match - Mainz 05
Schalke 04 scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Schalke 04
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 1.6 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Schalke 04 | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.82 | ▲ 4.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 60% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 87% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 89% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 play?
Schalke 04 face Mainz 05 on 17 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Veltins-Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
Schalke 04 score 0.80 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 2.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Schalke 04's matches and 60% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Schalke 04 have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mainz 05 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.