Schalke 04 vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Schalke 04 played Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Schalke 04: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Paderborn: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Schalke 04 scores 1.23 and concedes 0.54 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.54 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Schalke 04 31%, Paderborn 54%. Over 2.5: Schalke 04 38%, Paderborn 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Paderborn has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.50. Schalke 04: 13.1 shots per match, Paderborn: 15.9.

Match halves

Schalke 04: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.54. Paderborn: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

Schalke 04: 0-15 (6 goals). Paderborn: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
Schalke 04Paderborn
14Shots8
Schalke 04Paderborn
5Shots on target1
Schalke 04Paderborn
1.62xG0.8
Schalke 04Paderborn
3Corners3
Schalke 04Paderborn
54Dangerous attacks30
Schalke 04Paderborn
7Fouls14
Schalke 04Paderborn
2Cards4
Schalke 04Paderborn

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Schalke 04Paderborn
1.23Goals scored / match1.54
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.54Goals conceded / match0.92
Schalke 04Paderborn
41%Average possession52%
Schalke 04Paderborn
4.54Shots on target / match5.54
Schalke 04Paderborn

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.08Shots per match15.92
Schalke 04Paderborn
4.54Shots on target5.54
Schalke 04Paderborn
9.4%Shot conversion9.7%
Schalke 04Paderborn
41%Possession52%
Schalke 04Paderborn
1.5xG for1.74
Schalke 04Paderborn
1.05xG against1.37
Schalke 04Paderborn

Shooting quality

Schalke 04: BalancedPaderborn: Attacking
Schalke 04Paderborn
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paderborn is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 2.4 pts / match - Paderborn

Schalke 04
WWLWD
Season result split
69% W8% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-3
2.15 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Paderborn
WWWWL
Season result split
69% W15% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-2
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paderborn is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.23 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 1.54 goals / match - Paderborn

Schalke 04 is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.54 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 0.92 goals / match - Paderborn

Schalke 04 scoring profile: strong

Schalke 04 scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

Paderborn scoring profile: strong

Paderborn scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 54% (7 of 13 matches).

16Goals scored (season)20
Schalke 04Paderborn
7Goals conceded (season)12
Schalke 04Paderborn
1.77Average goals in match2.46
Schalke 04Paderborn
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Schalke 04Paderborn
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
Schalke 04Paderborn

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal85%
Schalke 04Paderborn
38%2 goals54%
Schalke 04Paderborn
8%3 goals8%
Schalke 04Paderborn
0%4 goals8%
Schalke 04Paderborn

How often they concede at least...

46%1 goal62%
Schalke 04Paderborn
8%2 goals23%
Schalke 04Paderborn
0%3 goals8%
Schalke 04Paderborn
0%4 goals0%
Schalke 04Paderborn

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time15%
Schalke 04Paderborn
0%BTTS in both halves8%
Schalke 04Paderborn
15%Scored in both halves46%
Schalke 04Paderborn

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Schalke 04Paderborn
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Schalke 04Paderborn
20%BTTS - last 560%
Schalke 04Paderborn

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Schalke 04Paderborn
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Schalke 04Paderborn
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Schalke 04Paderborn

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Schalke 04Paderborn
15%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Schalke 04Paderborn
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Schalke 04Paderborn

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Schalke 04 is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.85 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 1.69 pts / match - Paderborn

Schalke 04 - half-time state
46% leading46% draw8% trailing
Paderborn - half-time state
46% leading31% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.85Points per match (1st half)1.69
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.77Average goals (1st half)1.15
Schalke 04Paderborn
92%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Schalke 04Paderborn
54%No goal before half-time38%
Schalke 04Paderborn

After half-time (2nd half)

1.46Points per match (2nd half)1.85
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
Schalke 04Paderborn
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Schalke 04Paderborn
1Average goals (2nd half)1.31
Schalke 04Paderborn
62%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Schalke 04Paderborn
54%No goal after half-time31%
Schalke 04Paderborn

Schalke 04 - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paderborn - second-half results

46% W46% D8% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Schalke 04 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paderborn - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Schalke 04
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Paderborn
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.12
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
75%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Schalke 04

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Paderborn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Schalke 04LigaPaderborn
Average goals in match 1.772.83 2.46
Both teams scored 31%54% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%56% 46%
Clean sheets 54%26% 38%
Goal before half-time 54%69% 77%
Goal after half-time 69%83% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PaderbornYellow cardCalvin Marc Brackelmann
  2. PaderbornGoalLaurin CurdaAssist: Raphael Obermair
  3. Schalke 04GoalKenan KaramanAssist: Moussa Sylla
  4. PaderbornYellow cardFelix Götze
  5. Schalke 04SubstitutionOn: Bryan LasmeOff: Christopher Antwi-Adjej
  6. PaderbornYellow cardLaurin Curda
  7. Schalke 04Yellow cardKenan Karaman
  8. Schalke 04GoalBryan LasmeAssist: Kenan Karaman
  9. PaderbornSubstitutionOn: Stefano MarinoOff: Mattes Hansen
  10. PaderbornYellow cardNick Bätzner
  11. Schalke 04Yellow cardLoris Karius

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Schalke 04 2:1 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?

Schalke 04 score 1.23 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.54. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Schalke 04's matches and 54% of Paderborn's.

What form are Schalke 04 and Paderborn in?

Over the last 5 games Schalke 04 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Paderborn 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.