Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira: match statistics

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have won 3 of their 4 home matches and remain unbeaten on their own turf, giving them a case for victory over fourth-placed Admira despite sitting 11th in the table. The hosts average 2.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded at home, while the visitors score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per away game. The quality of chances created also works in Bregenz’s favour: their home xG is 1.72, while Admira allow chances worth an average xG of 1.84 on the road. The hosts’ current form is a concern, however—they have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, whereas Admira have won 4 of 5. The visitors have won 60% of their away matches and lost 40%, though, so home advantage gives Bregenz only a slight edge in the prediction.

BTTS has landed in 20% of Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz matches and 40% of Admira’s, both below the league average of 55%. Over their last five matches, these rates were 40% and 20%, respectively, which also suggests that one of the teams may fail to score. Bregenz have failed to score in 40% of their matches and average 1.0 goals per game, while Admira keep a clean sheet in 40% of their appearances. On the other hand, the hosts have an xG of 1.82 and the visitors 1.55, so chances should not be in short supply. Despite this attacking potential, the low BTTS frequency in both teams’ matches gives a slight edge to BTTS - No, meaning at least one team is expected not to score; this does not necessarily imply a 0-0 draw.

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: 80% of each team’s matches finished in this category. Bregenz score an average of 1.0 goals and concede 0.8, while Admira average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, pointing to a moderate goal total. However, attacking potential is higher than the goal figures alone suggest: average xG stands at 1.82 for Bregenz and 1.55 for Admira, making the 2.5 line less certain. In their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, supporting a forecast of around 2.45 goals in the match. Given this projection, Under 3.5 goals remains a clearer pick than either side of the 2.5 line.

A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility: Bregenz went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Admira did so in 2 of 5. The home side kept a clean sheet in the first half in 60% of their matches, while the visitors also failed to score before the break in 60%, which argues against Admira taking an early lead. After half-time, however, the advantage shifts to the visitors: they average 1.0 goals in the second half compared with 0.2 for the hosts. Admira have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Bregenz have won just 1, so their strong form increases the likelihood of a decisive result after the break. The hosts’ higher xG, 1.82 compared with the visitors’ 1.55, limits confidence in the prediction, but the combination of a likely half-time draw and Admira’s greater second-half effectiveness points to X/2 in the HT/FT market.