Schweinfurt vs Ulm: match statistics
Ulm appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite the poor form of both sides. Schweinfurt sits dead last in 20th place with a disastrous 3-2-22 record and only a 15% home win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Visitors Ulm, despite being 18th, present better offensive metrics with an average of 1.31 goals away and a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%). Crucially, the loss percentages favor the visitors; Ulm loses 62% of away games compared to Schweinfurt's 69% at home. Both teams have averaged an identical 0.4 PPG in their last five, but Ulm holds a slightly better goal difference (-10 vs -12) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (15% vs 8%). All stats considered, an away victory is the most probable scenario, though the poor form of both teams does not rule out a draw.
Schweinfurt vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Schweinfurt played Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Schweinfurt: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ulm: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Schweinfurt scores 0.85 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.30 and concedes 2.04. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Schweinfurt 56%, Ulm 70%. Over 2.5: Schweinfurt 67%, Ulm 70%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Schweinfurt has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.38. Schweinfurt: 11.6 shots per match, Ulm: 11.4.
Match halves
Schweinfurt: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.33. Ulm: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Schweinfurt: 16-30 (8 goals). Ulm: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulm appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite the poor form of both sides. Schweinfurt sits dead last in 20th place with a disastrous 3-2-22 record and only a 15% home win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in front of their own fans. Visitors Ulm, despite being 18th, present better offensive metrics with an average of 1.31 goals away and a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%). Crucially, the loss percentages favor the visitors; Ulm loses 62% of away games compared to Schweinfurt's 69% at home. Both teams have averaged an identical 0.4 PPG in their last five, but Ulm holds a slightly better goal difference (-10 vs -12) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (15% vs 8%). All stats considered, an away victory is the most probable scenario, though the poor form of both teams does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Schweinfurt | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulm is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Schweinfurt · 1.3 goals / match - Ulm
Ulm is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Schweinfurt · 2.04 goals / match - Ulm
Schweinfurt scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Ulm scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Schweinfurt keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Schweinfurt
Over / Under - Ulm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Schweinfurt is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Schweinfurt · 0.81 pts / match - Ulm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Schweinfurt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Schweinfurt
Ulm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Schweinfurt | Liga | Ulm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.15 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Schweinfurt 0 - 0 - 1 Ulm. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Schweinfurt vs Ulm?
The 3. Liga match finished Schweinfurt 3:2 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Schweinfurt vs Ulm?
Schweinfurt score 0.85 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.30. The 3. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Schweinfurt's matches and 70% of Ulm's.
What form are Schweinfurt and Ulm in?
Over the last 5 games Schweinfurt have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ulm 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Schweinfurt vs Ulm?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.