Scunthorpe United vs Boreham Wood: match statistics

Boreham Wood top the table and remain unbeaten after 6 matches, with a record of 5 wins and 1 draw, while Scunthorpe sit 22nd after suffering 4 defeats in 6 games. The visitors have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 5, whereas the hosts have lost 4 of their last 5, with a 7:11 goal difference. Away from home, Boreham Wood average 3 goals per match and convert 31% of their shots, considerably more efficiently than Scunthorpe at home, who score 1.33 goals with an 11% conversion rate. The visitors’ defence also looks stronger, allowing an xG of 0.94 away from home compared with 1.26 for the hosts, who have yet to keep a clean sheet at home. Scunthorpe create decent chances at home, with an average xG of 1.61, but their losing streak and Boreham Wood’s clinical finishing point towards a victory for the league leaders.

Scunthorpe have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches so far, while Boreham Wood have done so in 67%, compared with the league average of 64%. The hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 1.67 goals per match, while the visitors score as many as 3.00 goals per game. Boreham Wood have scored in every match this season, averaging 2.6 goals and 1.59 xG over their last five fixtures. Scunthorpe should also find the net, as they average 18.67 shots and create 2.29 xG per match, while their opponents have kept a clean sheet in only 33% of games. Recent form further supports goals at both ends: BTTS - Yes has occurred in 60% of Scunthorpe’s last five matches and in 80% of Boreham Wood’s games.

Both teams have gone Over 1.5 goals in 100% of their league matches so far, while each of the opponents’ last five fixtures has produced at least three goals. Boreham Wood are on an excellent five-match winning streak, scoring 2.6 goals per game during this period, whereas Scunthorpe have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per match. The hosts nevertheless remain dangerous in attack: they average 2.29 xG and register 7.33 shots on target per game, although their last five outings have produced a lower 1.51 xG. Scunthorpe’s defense has failed to keep a clean sheet in any match and has allowed opponents 1.82 xG over their last five games, clearly strengthening the outlook for goals from the visitors. The safest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.10 goals provides a substantial margin above this line, even against a solid Boreham Wood defense conceding an average of 1.0 goal.

Boreham Wood have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Scunthorpe have suffered four defeats, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 2.2 per match. The visitors establish an advantage before the break: their average first-half figures are 1.0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded, whereas the hosts score only 0.33 and concede 0.67 during that period. In their last five matches, Scunthorpe were trailing at half-time in 80% of cases, while Boreham Wood have a positive first-half goal difference of +1. The visitors’ advantage should continue after the interval, as they average 2.0 goals in second halves and have won that period in all five of their most recent appearances. Therefore, the HT/FT scenario of Boreham Wood leading at the break and securing the final victory is most strongly supported by both current form and the teams’ respective playing profiles.