Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Scunthorpe United presents excellent home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive series of five consecutive victories across all competitions. The hosts score an average of 1.92 goals per home match while conceding only 0.75, translating to a very positive goal difference of +14 at home. Forest Green Rovers, despite a solid table position, shows weaker efficiency away with 46% wins and a high percentage of draws (38%), and their recent form indicates a dip in performance with just 1.8 points per game. A key factor is also that the hosts have better chance conversion (13% vs 11%) and higher average xG in their matches (1.9 vs 1.76 for the visitors away). Considering all these factors, a victory for Scunthorpe United is predicted, though Forest Green's solid defense (31% clean sheets away) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Scunthorpe United played Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Scunthorpe United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Scunthorpe United scores 1.85 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.64 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Scunthorpe United 77%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Scunthorpe United 58%, Forest Green Rovers 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.73. Scunthorpe United: 13.3 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 17.3.
Match halves
Scunthorpe United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.96. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Scunthorpe United: 31-45+ (11 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Scunthorpe United presents excellent home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive series of five consecutive victories across all competitions. The hosts score an average of 1.92 goals per home match while conceding only 0.75, translating to a very positive goal difference of +14 at home. Forest Green Rovers, despite a solid table position, shows weaker efficiency away with 46% wins and a high percentage of draws (38%), and their recent form indicates a dip in performance with just 1.8 points per game. A key factor is also that the hosts have better chance conversion (13% vs 11%) and higher average xG in their matches (1.9 vs 1.76 for the visitors away). Considering all these factors, a victory for Scunthorpe United is predicted, though Forest Green's solid defense (31% clean sheets away) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Scunthorpe United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Scunthorpe United is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Scunthorpe United · 1.2 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Scunthorpe United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Scunthorpe United · 1.64 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Scunthorpe United · 0.93 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Scunthorpe United scores in 92% of matches (24 of 26 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Scunthorpe United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Scunthorpe United
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Scunthorpe United is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Scunthorpe United · 1.5 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Scunthorpe United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Scunthorpe United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Scunthorpe United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Scunthorpe United 0 - 1 - 0 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Scunthorpe United 3:2 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Scunthorpe United score 1.85 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.64. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Scunthorpe United's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Scunthorpe United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Scunthorpe United have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The statistical background for Scunthorpe United vs Forest Green Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.