Scunthorpe United vs Southend United: match statistics
Scunthorpe United displays impressive home form with a 69% win rate and only 8% losses at their home ground, averaging 2 goals per match. The hosts have the advantage in goal difference (+15 at home compared to the visitors' +5 away) and a better average xG (1.89 vs 1.57). Southend United, despite a decent away record (40% wins), is experiencing a weaker run in their last five away matches, ending in a defeat. The recent form of both teams (Scunthorpe: 2.0 PPG, Southend: 1.6 PPG) further speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, I predict a victory for Scunthorpe United, although Southend has the potential to pose a difficult challenge, which increases the probability of a draw to 28%.
Scunthorpe United vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Scunthorpe United played Southend United in National League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Scunthorpe United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Southend United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Scunthorpe United scores 1.89 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Southend United scores 1.63 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Scunthorpe United 78%, Southend United 52%. Over 2.5: Scunthorpe United 59%, Southend United 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Southend United has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.74. Scunthorpe United: 13.4 shots per match, Southend United: 15.2.
Match halves
Scunthorpe United: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.00. Southend United: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Scunthorpe United: 31-45+ (12 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Scunthorpe United displays impressive home form with a 69% win rate and only 8% losses at their home ground, averaging 2 goals per match. The hosts have the advantage in goal difference (+15 at home compared to the visitors' +5 away) and a better average xG (1.89 vs 1.57). Southend United, despite a decent away record (40% wins), is experiencing a weaker run in their last five away matches, ending in a defeat. The recent form of both teams (Scunthorpe: 2.0 PPG, Southend: 1.6 PPG) further speaks in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, I predict a victory for Scunthorpe United, although Southend has the potential to pose a difficult challenge, which increases the probability of a draw to 28%.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Scunthorpe United | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Scunthorpe United is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Scunthorpe United · 1.6 pts / match - Southend United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Scunthorpe United is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Scunthorpe United · 1.63 goals / match - Southend United
Southend United is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Scunthorpe United · 0.93 goals / match - Southend United
Scunthorpe United scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).
Southend United scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Scunthorpe United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Scunthorpe United
Over / Under - Southend United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Scunthorpe United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Scunthorpe United
Southend United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Scunthorpe United | Liga | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Scunthorpe United 1 - 0 - 0 Southend United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Scunthorpe United vs Southend United?
The National League match finished Scunthorpe United 1:0 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Scunthorpe United vs Southend United?
Scunthorpe United score 1.89 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.63. The National League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Scunthorpe United's matches and 52% of Southend United's.
What form are Scunthorpe United and Southend United in?
Over the last 5 games Scunthorpe United have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Southend United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Scunthorpe United vs Southend United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Scunthorpe United vs Southend United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.