Scunthorpe United vs Yeovil Town: match statistics

Scunthorpe United have a clearly better record over their last five matches, collecting 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while Yeovil Town have managed just 4 points. The hosts have scored 4 goals and conceded only 4 during this period, giving them a balanced record, whereas the visitors have scored just 3 goals and conceded as many as 9. Yeovil have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, with their defence conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in this run, so Scunthorpe should create more opportunities to decide the match. The difference in league position—16th for the hosts compared with 24th for the visitors—further supports Scunthorpe. Both teams’ low scoring efficiency increases the likelihood of a closely contested match and a draw, but the hosts’ more stable defence points to a slight advantage for them.

The signal for BTTS - No is clearer, as both teams recorded a BTTS outcome in only 40% of their last 5 matches. Yeovil scored just 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per match, while their average xG stands at only 0.96. Scunthorpe have defended relatively solidly, conceding 4 goals in 5 appearances—an average of 0.8 goals—which further reduces the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts have also scored only 4 goals in their last five matches, although their xG of 1.59 suggests the potential to exploit Yeovil’s weaker defence, which concedes an average of 1.8 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which Scunthorpe score, but at least one side—primarily Yeovil—fails to find the net.

The available data from the last five matches points to limited attacking output: Scunthorpe scored 4 goals, while Yeovil managed just 3, averaging 0.8 and 0.6 goals per game, respectively. During this period, the hosts conceded 0.8 goals per match, whereas Yeovil’s defense allowed 1.8 per game, giving Scunthorpe the clearer chance of scoring but not suggesting an end-to-end contest. The hosts’ creative potential is higher, with an average xG of 1.59 compared with 0.96 for the visitors, but only 20% of Scunthorpe’s recent matches and 60% of Yeovil’s games went Over 2.5 goals. With a projected total of 2.10 goals, the most convincing selection is Under 3.5 goals, as this line would require four goals to be beaten despite the low efficiency of both attacks.

Scunthorpe were leading at the break in 40% of their last five matches, while Yeovil failed to go into half-time ahead in any of those games and were behind at the interval in 60% of them. The hosts averaged 0.4 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors conceded as many as 1.4, clearly strengthening the scenario of a Scunthorpe lead after the first half. Across their last five matches, Scunthorpe won 40% of their games and conceded just 0.8 goals per match, while Yeovil lost 60% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. After the break, both teams played very cautiously: Scunthorpe drew the second half in 100% of cases and Yeovil in 60%, making it most likely that the hosts will preserve a narrow lead until the final whistle.