SD Eibar vs Almería: match statistics
SD Eibar displays impressive home form with a 55% win rate and only 18% losses at their own stadium, confirmed by a streak of three consecutive home victories. The hosts achieve high attacking efficiency (averaging 1.64 goals per match) alongside a solid defense (0.82 goals conceded), and their advantage in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs xGA 1.11) indicates dominance in home fixtures. Almería, despite a decent table position, is in poor form with just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings and three losses in that period, signaling stability issues. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets as often as the hosts (27% vs 45%), and their away goal difference is significantly more modest. Given SD Eibar's home advantage, superior form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although Almería has the potential to put up stiff resistance.
SD Eibar vs Almería: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SD Eibar played Almería in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
SD Eibar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Almería: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
SD Eibar scores 1.05 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Almería scores 1.86 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SD Eibar 50%, Almería 73%. Over 2.5: SD Eibar 50%, Almería 73%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.42. SD Eibar: 12.4 shots per match, Almería: 15.6.
Match halves
SD Eibar: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73. Almería: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
SD Eibar: 46-60 (7 goals). Almería: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SD Eibar displays impressive home form with a 55% win rate and only 18% losses at their own stadium, confirmed by a streak of three consecutive home victories. The hosts achieve high attacking efficiency (averaging 1.64 goals per match) alongside a solid defense (0.82 goals conceded), and their advantage in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs xGA 1.11) indicates dominance in home fixtures. Almería, despite a decent table position, is in poor form with just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings and three losses in that period, signaling stability issues. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets as often as the hosts (27% vs 45%), and their away goal difference is significantly more modest. Given SD Eibar's home advantage, superior form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although Almería has the potential to put up stiff resistance.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SD Eibar | Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SD Eibar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - SD Eibar · 0.8 pts / match - Almería
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - SD Eibar · 1.86 goals / match - Almería
SD Eibar is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - SD Eibar · 1.45 goals / match - Almería
SD Eibar scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Almería scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while SD Eibar keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SD Eibar
Over / Under - Almería
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almería is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - SD Eibar · 1.5 pts / match - Almería
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SD Eibar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SD Eibar
Almería
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| SD Eibar | Liga | Almería | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: SD Eibar 0 - 0 - 1 Almería. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SD Eibar vs Almería?
The Segunda División match finished SD Eibar 1:0 Almería. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SD Eibar vs Almería?
SD Eibar score 1.05 goals per game on average and Almería 1.86. The Segunda División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of SD Eibar's matches and 73% of Almería's.
What form are SD Eibar and Almería in?
Over the last 5 games SD Eibar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Almería 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SD Eibar vs Almería?
The statistical background for SD Eibar vs Almería — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.