SD Huesca vs Ceuta: match statistics
SD Huesca displays solid home form with a 42% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts stand out with high scoring efficiency in home games (1.25 goals on average) and a favorable xG indicator (1.38 vs 1.2), suggesting an edge in chance creation. Ceuta, however, struggles on the road with just a 17% win rate, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match and holding a negative goal difference (-9). Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but the home advantage and Huesca's superior offensive and defensive stats in home fixtures point towards a home victory. Considering Ceuta's tendency for draws away from home (33%) and the unpredictability of the competition, a draw also remains a plausible outcome.
SD Huesca vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SD Huesca played Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
SD Huesca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ceuta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
SD Huesca scores 0.92 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Ceuta scores 1.25 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SD Huesca 52%, Ceuta 54%. Over 2.5: SD Huesca 40%, Ceuta 54%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Ceuta has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.17. SD Huesca: 10.7 shots per match, Ceuta: 11.3.
Match halves
SD Huesca: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.56. Ceuta: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
SD Huesca: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ceuta: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SD Huesca displays solid home form with a 42% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts stand out with high scoring efficiency in home games (1.25 goals on average) and a favorable xG indicator (1.38 vs 1.2), suggesting an edge in chance creation. Ceuta, however, struggles on the road with just a 17% win rate, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match and holding a negative goal difference (-9). Both teams' form in their last five matches is average, but the home advantage and Huesca's superior offensive and defensive stats in home fixtures point towards a home victory. Considering Ceuta's tendency for draws away from home (33%) and the unpredictability of the competition, a draw also remains a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SD Huesca | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceuta is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - SD Huesca · 1.2 pts / match - Ceuta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceuta is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - SD Huesca · 1.25 goals / match - Ceuta
SD Huesca scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Ceuta scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while SD Huesca keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SD Huesca
Over / Under - Ceuta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SD Huesca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SD Huesca
Ceuta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| SD Huesca | Liga | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: SD Huesca 0 - 0 - 1 Ceuta. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SD Huesca vs Ceuta?
The Segunda División match finished SD Huesca 2:0 Ceuta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SD Huesca vs Ceuta?
SD Huesca score 0.92 goals per game on average and Ceuta 1.25. The Segunda División average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 52% of SD Huesca's matches and 54% of Ceuta's.
What form are SD Huesca and Ceuta in?
Over the last 5 games SD Huesca have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ceuta 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SD Huesca vs Ceuta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.