Seongnam vs Seoul E-Land: match statistics

Seoul E-Land sit 2nd, while Seongnam are only 10th, with 12 and 6 wins respectively across the season. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches, collecting 11 points and scoring 10 goals, whereas Seongnam have recorded 2 wins and 2 defeats during that period, scoring just 6 goals. Away from home, Seoul E-Land average 1.55 goals per match from 5 shots on target, while the hosts score an average of once per game at home and have failed to score in 40% of their appearances. Seongnam have the higher home xG, 1.70 compared with 1.57, and concede only 0.9 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of a closely contested game. Nevertheless, the visitors win 55% of their away matches, while the hosts draw as many as 50% of their home fixtures, making a narrow Seoul E-Land victory the most likely outcome.

Seongnam have recorded BTTS in 82% of their matches, well above Seoul E-Land’s 55% and the league average of 63%. The hosts have failed to score in none of their matches this season, but have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of their outings, which significantly increases the likelihood of an away goal. Seoul E-Land have averaged 2.0 goals with an xG of 1.80 in their last 5 matches, while Seongnam have allowed opponents an xG of 1.53 over the same period. Although the visitors keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches, Seongnam generate 1.74 xG at home, register 6.09 shots on target per match and score an average of 2.09 goals. The current BTTS rate stands at 60% for Seongnam and 80% for Seoul E-Land, making a goal for both teams more likely than a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.

Seongnam average 2.09 total goals in home matches, while Seoul E-Land average 1.55 away from home, indicating a favorable profile for at least two goals. The hosts create an average of 1.74 xG, while the visitors allow 1.39 xG. Meanwhile, Seoul E-Land’s attack produces 1.57 xG, compared with 1.12 xG conceded by Seongnam. The 1.5-goal line has been covered in 91% of Seongnam’s matches and 73% of Seoul E-Land’s games, clearly more often than the 2.5-goal threshold, which stands at 82% and 64%, respectively. Recent form also supports goals: in their last five appearances, the visitors averaged 2.0 goals, while both teams had 60% of their matches finish with at least three goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the high quality of chances created by both sides and the very frequent success of this line reduce the risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Seoul E-Land win at full-time, as the visitors have been level at the break in 73% of their matches this season and have gone into half-time tied in each of their last five games. Seongnam tend to start better, leading at the break in 45% of matches, but their recent form is weaker: they average 1.2 goals scored and have lost 40% of their last five fixtures. Seoul E-Land remain unbeaten over this period, recording a 60% win rate, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 1.2 per game. After the break, the visitors’ advantage becomes clear, as they win the second half in 64% of matches and score an average of 1.18 goals during this period, while conceding just 0.55. Seongnam, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.0 goal after the interval, with as many as 8 of their goals conceded coming between the 76th and 90th minutes, which supports a late turnaround in favour of the visitors.