Septemvri Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
Arda is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 1.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Septemvri Sofia. The hosts are in 14th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 17 losses this season, conceding as many as 53 goals. Septemvri Sofia have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 9. Arda shows solid defensive performances away from home with 46% clean sheets and an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, and their form (dwdlw) suggests stabilization. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference on the road (+1) compared to the hosts' negative home difference (-8), which, combined with Septemvri's high home loss rate (58%), supports an Arda victory.
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia played Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Arda: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.85 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. Arda scores 1.00 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 42%, Arda 23%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 58%, Arda 31%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Arda has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.13. Septemvri Sofia: 8.6 shots per match, Arda: 11.5.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.46. Arda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). Arda: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arda is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 1.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Septemvri Sofia. The hosts are in 14th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 17 losses this season, conceding as many as 53 goals. Septemvri Sofia have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 9. Arda shows solid defensive performances away from home with 46% clean sheets and an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, and their form (dwdlw) suggests stabilization. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference on the road (+1) compared to the hosts' negative home difference (-8), which, combined with Septemvri's high home loss rate (58%), supports an Arda victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arda is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.6 pts / match - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1 goals / match - Arda
Arda is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.92 goals / match - Arda
Septemvri Sofia scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
Arda scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.31 pts / match - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 43% | ▼ 23% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 35% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Septemvri Sofia 1 - 0 - 0 Arda. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 1:4 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.85 goals per game on average and Arda 1.00. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 23% of Arda's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Arda 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.