Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More: match statistics
Cherno More presents significantly better form and table position (5th place) compared to Septemvri Sofia (14th place). The visitors have an impressive away record with 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+4), while the hosts concede an average of 1.64 goals per match at home and have a negative balance (-5). Septemvri wins barely 36% of home matches with 55% losses, testifying to their weakness as hosts. Cherno More is characterized by solid defense in away games (0.83 goals conceded on average) and better possession (54% vs 49%). Although Cherno More's last 5 matches ended in draws and a defeat, their overall quality and away statistics give them the advantage in this clash. The high percentage of draws for the visitors (33%) and the weaker form of both teams in recent meetings increase the probability of a point split, however, the qualitative advantage speaks for a victory for Cherno More.
Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia played Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cherno More: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.96 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Cherno More scores 1.13 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 48%, Cherno More 46%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 57%, Cherno More 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Cherno More has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.15. Septemvri Sofia: 9.0 shots per match, Cherno More: 12.0.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.52. Cherno More: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). Cherno More: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cherno More presents significantly better form and table position (5th place) compared to Septemvri Sofia (14th place). The visitors have an impressive away record with 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+4), while the hosts concede an average of 1.64 goals per match at home and have a negative balance (-5). Septemvri wins barely 36% of home matches with 55% losses, testifying to their weakness as hosts. Cherno More is characterized by solid defense in away games (0.83 goals conceded on average) and better possession (54% vs 49%). Although Cherno More's last 5 matches ended in draws and a defeat, their overall quality and away statistics give them the advantage in this clash. The high percentage of draws for the visitors (33%) and the weaker form of both teams in recent meetings increase the probability of a point split, however, the qualitative advantage speaks for a victory for Cherno More.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Septemvri Sofia is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.8 pts / match - Cherno More
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cherno More is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.13 goals / match - Cherno More
Cherno More is 182% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.71 goals / match - Cherno More
Septemvri Sofia scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Cherno More scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Cherno More
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cherno More is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.54 pts / match - Cherno More
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.34 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 35% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Septemvri Sofia 0 - 1 - 0 Cherno More. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 0:3 Cherno More. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.96 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.13. The First League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 46% of Cherno More's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Cherno More in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cherno More 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More?
The statistical background for Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.