Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
CSKA Sofia presents significantly better form and statistics in this matchup. The visitors sit in 3rd place with 11 wins, while Septemvri Sofia occupies the 15th position with only 5 victories this season. Form over the last five matches clearly favors CSKA – 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match) compared to just 1 win for the hosts (0.8 points per match). Septemvri suffers a 60% loss rate at home and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match, whereas CSKA shows solid away defense (0.82 goals conceded on average) and 36% clean sheets. Higher xG values (1.78 vs 1.19) and an advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) further confirm the visitors' superiority. Given the goal difference (-7 for the hosts, +4 for the visitors) and current disposition of both teams, a CSKA Sofia victory is the most likely scenario.
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia played CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CSKA Sofia: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.95 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. CSKA Sofia scores 1.50 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 52%, CSKA Sofia 50%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 62%, CSKA Sofia 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.15. Septemvri Sofia: 9.1 shots per match, CSKA Sofia: 16.5.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). CSKA Sofia: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia presents significantly better form and statistics in this matchup. The visitors sit in 3rd place with 11 wins, while Septemvri Sofia occupies the 15th position with only 5 victories this season. Form over the last five matches clearly favors CSKA – 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match) compared to just 1 win for the hosts (0.8 points per match). Septemvri suffers a 60% loss rate at home and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match, whereas CSKA shows solid away defense (0.82 goals conceded on average) and 36% clean sheets. Higher xG values (1.78 vs 1.19) and an advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) further confirm the visitors' superiority. Given the goal difference (-7 for the hosts, +4 for the visitors) and current disposition of both teams, a CSKA Sofia victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 2.4 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.5 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.1 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.77 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
CSKA Sofia scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.64 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.32 | • 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Septemvri Sofia 0 - 0 - 1 CSKA Sofia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 2:0 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.95 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 1.50. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 50% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The statistical background for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.