Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010: match statistics
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia played Dunav 2010 in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Dunav 2010: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.80 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Dunav 2010 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 50%, Dunav 2010 70%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 60%, Dunav 2010 70%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Septemvri Sofia has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.09. Septemvri Sofia: 8.3 shots per match, Dunav 2010: 7.2.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.70. Dunav 2010: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 46-60 (4 goals). Dunav 2010: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Septemvri Sofia are slight favourites, primarily because Dunav 2010 have lost 4 of their 5 away matches and concede an average of 2 goals on the road. The hosts create chances worth 1.45 xG per match at home, while the visitors allow their opponents 2.23 xG, giving Septemvri a chance to improve on their current average of 0.8 goals scored. Both teams remain in poor form: the hosts have picked up 4 points from their last 5 matches, while the visitors have managed just 2. However, the outcome is far from certain, as Dunav average 1.2 goals away from home and have scored in every away match so far, while Septemvri concede an average of 2 goals at home. The hosts’ edge in chance creation and the visitors’ weak defence point towards a home win (1), although the risk of conceding is significant.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dunav have scored in every match, while Septemvri have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 1.8 goals, strongly supporting the visitors to score. The hosts also have a realistic chance of finding the net: Dunav have not kept a clean sheet, concede an average of 2.0 goals, and allow opponents chances worth 2.23 xG per match. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 60% and 80% of games respectively, above the league average of 56%. The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is that Septemvri have failed to score in 60% of their matches and average just 0.8 goals. Even so, Dunav’s poor defense tips the balance in favor of both sides finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line was exceeded in 80% of Septemvri’s matches and 100% of Dunav’s. Both teams concede plenty of goals—an average of 1.8 for the hosts and 2.0 for the visitors per match—and neither has kept a clean sheet. The hosts’ attacking potential is boosted by the fact that Dunav’s average xG conceded is 2.23, although Septemvri have scored just 0.8 goals per match so far. The projected total of 2.98 goals points to a goal-heavy game, but Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of the hosts’ matches, making Over 1.5 goals the safer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely, as Septemvri have failed to score in the first half in each of their last five matches, while Dunav have been without a first-half goal in 80% of their away games. The second-half figures favour the visitors: away from home, they average 1.0 goals after the break, while Septemvri score 0.2 and concede 1.2 per game at home. Septemvri have lost the second half in all five of their home matches, increasing the chance that Dunav will settle a closely contested game after the break. However, Dunav are not strong favourites to win, having lost 80% of their away matches and conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Dunav win is the most likely individual HT/FT scenario, but it has only a moderate edge over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Dunav 2010 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Septemvri Sofia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.4 pts / match - Dunav 2010
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dunav 2010 is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1 goals / match - Dunav 2010
Septemvri Sofia is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.9 goals / match - Dunav 2010
Septemvri Sofia scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Dunav 2010 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Dunav 2010 scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Dunav 2010
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dunav 2010 is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.9 pts / match - Dunav 2010
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dunav 2010 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
Dunav 2010
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Dunav 2010 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Septemvri SofiaYellow cardPetar Sergeev Gospodinov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 2:3 Dunav 2010. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.80 goals per game on average and Dunav 2010 1.00. The First League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 70% of Dunav 2010's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Dunav 2010 in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dunav 2010 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010?
The statistical background for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav 2010 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.