Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Septemvri Sofia played Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ludogorets: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Septemvri Sofia scores 1.20 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Ludogorets scores 1.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 67%, Ludogorets 43%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 67%, Ludogorets 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Ludogorets has higher xG: 2.18 vs 1.16. Septemvri Sofia: 9.2 shots per match, Ludogorets: 17.1.

Match halves

Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. Ludogorets: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.21.

Goals by minute

Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ludogorets: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
10Shots12
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
5Shots on target5
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.42xG1.5
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
4Corners3
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
61Dangerous attacks54
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
20Fouls10
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
4Cards1
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.2Goals scored / match1.71
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.87Goals conceded / match0.86
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
48%Average possession63%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
2.93Shots on target / match6.71
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.2Shots per match17.14
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
2.93Shots on target6.71
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
13%Shot conversion10%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
48%Possession63%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.16xG for2.18
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.85xG against1.12
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Shooting quality

Septemvri Sofia: Efficient finishingLudogorets: Dominant
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
Accuracy (shots on target)32%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Septemvri Sofia is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.6 pts / match - Ludogorets

Septemvri Sofia
DWLLW
Season result split
27% W13% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-9
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ludogorets
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-2
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ludogorets is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.71 goals / match - Ludogorets

Ludogorets is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.87 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.86 goals / match - Ludogorets

Septemvri Sofia scoring profile: mixed

Septemvri Sofia scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).

Ludogorets scoring profile: very strong

Ludogorets scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

18Goals scored (season)24
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
28Goals conceded (season)12
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
3.07Average goals in match2.57
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal71%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
27%2 goals50%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
7%3 goals29%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
7%4 goals14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal43%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
60%2 goals14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
27%3 goals14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
7%4 goals7%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time29%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
13%Scored in both halves50%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
60%BTTS - last 560%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Septemvri Sofia is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.14 pts / match - Ludogorets

Septemvri Sofia - half-time state
33% leading27% draw40% trailing
Ludogorets - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.14
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.14
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
47%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
47%No goal before half-time50%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)2.29
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1.21
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.21
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.43
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
27%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
60%No goal after half-time29%
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets

Septemvri Sofia - second-half results

20% W27% D53% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ludogorets - second-half results

64% W36% D0% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding205%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Septemvri Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ludogorets - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Septemvri Sofia
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ludogorets
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
6
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
9
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+77%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Septemvri Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
176%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Ludogorets

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

Septemvri SofiaLigaLudogorets
Average goals in match 3.072.37 2.57
Both teams scored 67%50% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%46% 50%
Clean sheets 13%31% 57%
Goal before half-time 80%69% 64%
Goal after half-time 80%70% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LudogoretsYellow cardIdan Nachmias
  2. Septemvri SofiaSubstitutionOn: Moises Parra GutierrezOff: Victor Ayi Ochayi
  3. Septemvri SofiaYellow cardMartin Hristov
  4. Septemvri SofiaSubstitutionOn: Kubrat OnasciOff: Yoan Hristov Baurenski
  5. Septemvri SofiaYellow cardBertrand Fourrier
  6. LudogoretsGoalIvaylo Chochev
  7. LudogoretsSubstitutionOn: Kwadwo DuahOff: Yves Erick Bile
  8. LudogoretsSubstitutionOn: Filip KaločOff: Petar Stanić
  9. Septemvri SofiaSubstitutionOn: Marsel Krum BibishkovOff: Stoyan Krastev Stoichkov
  10. Septemvri SofiaYellow cardRobin Schouten
  11. Septemvri SofiaYellow cardAli Aruna

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Septemvri Sofia 0 - 0 - 1 Ludogorets. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
5 : 0
FK Septemvri Sofia

FAQ

What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?

The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 0:2 Ludogorets. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Septemvri Sofia score 1.20 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 1.71. The First League average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 43% of Ludogorets's.

What form are Septemvri Sofia and Ludogorets in?

Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ludogorets 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.