Septemvri Sofia vs Montana: match statistics
Despite a poor position in the table and only a 22% home win rate, Septemvri Sofia holds a head-to-head advantage over Montana. Montana presents even worse away statistics, with a mere 10% win rate and a staggering 50% of away matches without scoring a goal. The home side scores an average of 1.11 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage only 0.5 goals away, granting Septemvri a significant edge. Both teams are in very poor form, but Montana has scored just 1 goal and secured no victories in their last five matches. Considering the home advantage, the hosts' superior offensive efficiency, and the visitors' disastrous away form, Septemvri Sofia has a genuine chance to turn things around and claim the three points, although a draw also remains possible due to the generally low level of both sides.
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia played Montana in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Montana: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.95 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Montana scores 0.70 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 55%, Montana 50%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 65%, Montana 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Montana has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.14. Septemvri Sofia: 9.1 shots per match, Montana: 9.9.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.45. Montana: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). Montana: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite a poor position in the table and only a 22% home win rate, Septemvri Sofia holds a head-to-head advantage over Montana. Montana presents even worse away statistics, with a mere 10% win rate and a staggering 50% of away matches without scoring a goal. The home side scores an average of 1.11 goals per match at home, while the visitors manage only 0.5 goals away, granting Septemvri a significant edge. Both teams are in very poor form, but Montana has scored just 1 goal and secured no victories in their last five matches. Considering the home advantage, the hosts' superior offensive efficiency, and the visitors' disastrous away form, Septemvri Sofia has a genuine chance to turn things around and claim the three points, although a draw also remains possible due to the generally low level of both sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Montana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montana is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.4 pts / match - Montana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Septemvri Sofia is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.7 goals / match - Montana
Montana is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.7 goals / match - Montana
Septemvri Sofia scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Montana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Montana scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Montana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Septemvri Sofia is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.7 pts / match - Montana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Montana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Montana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.41 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Septemvri Sofia 0 - 0 - 1 Montana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 1:0 Montana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.95 goals per game on average and Montana 0.70. The First League average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 50% of Montana's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Montana in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Montana 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.