Sesvete vs Dugopolje: match statistics
Sesvete vs Dugopolje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sesvete played Dugopolje in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sesvete: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dugopolje: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sesvete scores 1.27 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Dugopolje scores 1.27 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sesvete 37%, Dugopolje 43%. Over 2.5: Sesvete 30%, Dugopolje 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Dugopolje has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.22. Sesvete: 8.2 shots per match, Dugopolje: 8.5.
Match halves
Sesvete: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Dugopolje: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Sesvete: 61-75 (8 goals). Dugopolje: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sesvete appear to be the favourites primarily due to a strong home defence: they concede only 0.47 goals per home match on average and keep a clean sheet in 60% of home games, whereas Dugopolje concede 1.07 goals away and have just 21% clean sheets. Offensively the hosts also generate higher quality chances — Sesvete score 1.4 goals at home on average from 10.14 shots and 4.64 on target (conversion rate 15%), while Dugopolje away manage only 0.71 goals from 6.71 shots and 3.07 on target (conversion rate 11%). The visitors however are in clearer recent attacking form across the period, scoring 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and averaging 2.0 points in that span, whereas Sesvete have 9 goals in their last 5 (1.8 per game) and average 1.4 points per match. The xG differential also favours the hosts: Sesvete’s home offensive xG is 1.39 versus Dugopolje’s away offensive xG of 1.06, while Sesvete defend better in reality than their xG against suggests (xG against 1.19 versus just 0.47 goals conceded). Considering the higher volume and quality of shots (10.14 vs 6.71), superior conversion (15% vs 11%) and home defensive advantage, I estimate Sesvete’s win probability at 60%, draw 20% and Dugopolje win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although Sesvete has a seasonal BTTS of 56% and Dugopolje only 29%, in the last 5 matches both teams have been conceding and scoring more: the last 5 show BTTS 60% for Sesvete and 80% for Dugopolje. In that period the home side scored 9 goals (avg. 1.8) and conceded 8 (avg. 1.6), while the visitors scored 11 (avg. 2.2) and conceded 7 (avg. 1.4), indicating high offensive activity from both teams. xG in the last 5 is 1.26 for Sesvete and 1.48 for Dugopolje, and season xG_for is 1.5 versus 1.06, which confirms both sides are generating scoring chances. Sesvete have 4.69 shots on target and a 17% conversion rate versus 3.07 and 11% for Dugopolje, so the hosts are more efficient, but the visitors have been scoring regularly recently. Considering the form advantage and the number of chances (last 5, xG and shots) despite Dugopolje’s low seasonal BTTS and 65% clean sheets in the league, I assessed BTTS - Yes at 62% and No Goal at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive metrics, I estimate Sesvete to score ~1.40 goals and Dugopolje ~1.10 goals, totaling ~2.50 goals. Sesvete has xG_for 1.50, averages 10.06 shots per match with 4.69 on target and a conversion rate of 17%, while Dugopolje has xG_against 1.30 and concedes 1.07 goals per match this season, which increases the hosts' scoring potential. Dugopolje’s xG_for is 1.06, but they have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches (11 goals in 5 games) and posted an xG_for of 1.48 in that period, so the visitors’ attack can also lift the total. Over statistics are strong: Sesvete have 81% of matches over 1.5 goals, Dugopolje 50%, and in the last 5 meetings Over 2.5 occurred in 60% and 80% of cases respectively, therefore the strongest signal is backing the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sesvete is a clear favorite: they score on average 1.75 goals per match versus 0.71 for Dugopolje and win 69% of games compared to 29% for the visitors. In first halves Sesvete led at the break in 7 matches (44%) and score on average 0.88 goals by half-time, while Dugopolje has only 0.36; 81% of the home team’s matches have at least 1 goal by the break. xG and shot metrics confirm this advantage: xG 1.50 vs 1.06, an average of 4.69 shots on target versus 3.07 and conversion 17% vs 11%, which increases the likelihood that Sesvete will finish the chances they create. In the second half the hosts also perform better (on average 0.88 scored vs 0.36 by Dugopolje), and the visitors led at the break in only 2 matches (14%), so holding a lead and completing the win appears most likely. Therefore my primary scenario is 1/1 (Sesvete lead at the break and win at Full-Time), which I assign the highest probability (31%), with the second signal being X/1 (draw at the break and home win at Full-Time, 26%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sesvete | Dugopolje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dugopolje is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sesvete · 2 pts / match - Dugopolje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sesvete is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Sesvete · 1.03 goals / match - Dugopolje
Sesvete scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Dugopolje keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Dugopolje scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Sesvete keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sesvete
Over / Under - Dugopolje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sesvete is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Sesvete · 1.33 pts / match - Dugopolje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sesvete - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dugopolje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sesvete
Dugopolje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Sesvete | Liga | Dugopolje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.30 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 43% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 42% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sesvete 1 - 1 - 0 Dugopolje. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
The Druga HNL match finished Sesvete 1:2 Dugopolje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sesvete and Dugopolje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 1, Dugopolje won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
Sesvete score 1.27 goals per game on average and Dugopolje 1.27. The Druga HNL average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Sesvete's matches and 43% of Dugopolje's.
What form are Sesvete and Dugopolje in?
Over the last 5 games Sesvete have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dugopolje 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
The statistical background for Sesvete vs Dugopolje — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.