Sesvete vs Opatija: match statistics
Sesvete vs Opatija: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sesvete played Opatija in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 2 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sesvete: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Opatija: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sesvete scores 1.17 and concedes 0.58 goals per match. Opatija scores 0.71 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sesvete 33%, Opatija 38%. Over 2.5: Sesvete 25%, Opatija 38%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Sesvete has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.14. Sesvete: 7.7 shots per match, Opatija: 8.4.
Match halves
Sesvete: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.63. Opatija: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Sesvete: 46-60 (6 goals). Opatija: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win ("1") because Sesvete has won 5/5 in its last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding only 2, while Opatija’s last 5 read 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with a 4:5 goal record. Home metrics favor Sesvete: they average 1.33 goals scored at home and 0.5 conceded per match, with 58% clean sheets and 4.09 shots on target per game—clearly superior to Opatija’s 0.42 goals away and 2.92 shots on target. Opatija has a serious efficiency problem—shot-to-goal conversion on the road is only 5% and the team fails to score in 58% of away matches, whereas Sesvete posts 16% conversion and only 25% of home games without a goal. Defensive difference is also notable: Opatija concedes 1.42 goals on average away versus Sesvete’s 0.5 at home, and the goal-difference stands at -12 for Opatija away compared to +10 for Sesvete at home. Given Sesvete’s run of 5 straight wins, superior finishing and advantage in chance creation, I estimate probabilities of 70% for the home side, 20% for a draw and 10% for the away team.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Opatija has a season scoring average of only 0.42 and a season BTTS rate of 25%, with BTTS in the last 5 matches at just 20%, indicating frequent scoring problems. Sesvete is in much better attacking form: 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 average), 28 goals this season versus Opatija’s 17, and a season scoring average of 1.0. Despite similar xG (1.13 for Sesvete vs 1.15 for Opatija), finishing efficiency is decisive — Sesvete converts at 13% with 7.75 shots, Opatija only 5% with 9.08 shots, explaining Opatija’s low actual goal output. Considering these figures and the home side’s form (5 wins), the strongest signal is BTTS - No (No Goal) with an estimated probability of around 75%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 67% of their season matches over 1.5 goals, and component xG suggests roughly 2.50 goals combined: Sesvete xG_for 1.13 + Opatija xG_against 1.40 → ~1.27 for the home side; Opatija xG_for 1.15 + Sesvete xG_against 1.31 → ~1.23 for the away side. Sesvete are in very good form — 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 avg) and a 'wwwww' streak, while Opatija have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg) with form 'ddllw', which increases the likelihood that the hosts will push up the total goals. Season over2.5 shares are 50% for Sesvete and 25% for Opatija, and the hosts' last 5 matches show 60% over2.5, so over2.5 is possible but not certain (I estimate ~48% for over2.5). Over3.5 looks unlikely — seasonally 0% for Sesvete and 8% for Opatija, giving a low probability ~12%, therefore the strongest and safest signal is over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back the 1/1 scenario because Sesvete led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won all five (100%), indicating strong home form. In the last five games the hosts averaged 1.2 goals by half-time with 0.0 conceded, while Opatija averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded by half-time; seasonal half-time averages are 1.0 for Sesvete versus 0.42 for Opatija. Both teams’ xG are similar (1.13 vs 1.15), but the hosts’ finishing is markedly better (conversion 13% vs 5%), so with comparable xG the home side more often turns chances into goals. Additionally, the visitors were trailing at the break in 58% of matches and concede on average 0.58 goals by half-time, which increases the likelihood of the hosts leading at the break and holding the victory through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sesvete | Opatija | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sesvete is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Sesvete · 1 pts / match - Opatija
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sesvete is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Sesvete · 0.71 goals / match - Opatija
Sesvete is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.58 goals / match - Sesvete · 1.25 goals / match - Opatija
Sesvete scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Opatija keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Opatija scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while Sesvete keeps a clean sheet in 54% (13 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sesvete
Over / Under - Opatija
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sesvete is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Sesvete · 1.08 pts / match - Opatija
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sesvete - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Opatija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sesvete
Opatija
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Sesvete | Liga | Opatija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.18 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 39% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sesvete 0 - 1 - 1 Opatija. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sesvete vs Opatija?
The Druga HNL match finished Sesvete 1:0 Opatija. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sesvete and Opatija?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 0, Opatija won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sesvete vs Opatija?
Sesvete score 1.17 goals per game on average and Opatija 0.71. The Druga HNL average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sesvete's matches and 38% of Opatija's.
What form are Sesvete and Opatija in?
Over the last 5 games Sesvete have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Opatija 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sesvete vs Opatija?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.