Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Sevilla is in 13th place in the table and shows unstable form at home, winning only 31% of their home matches with a 46% loss rate. Rayo Vallecano occupies the 12th position, but they perform even worse in away games, with just a 23% win rate and as many as 62% losses on the road. A key factor is Rayo's poor attacking efficiency away from home (54% of matches without a scored goal, averaging 0.85 goals) and their -11 goal difference in away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is similar (Sevilla: 1.2 PPG, Rayo: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering the poor efficiency of both sides and their struggles in scoring, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Sevilla a minimally higher chance of victory.
Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sevilla FC played Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sevilla FC: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Rayo Vallecano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sevilla FC scores 1.31 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Rayo Vallecano scores 1.00 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sevilla FC 62%, Rayo Vallecano 42%. Over 2.5: Sevilla FC 62%, Rayo Vallecano 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.32. Sevilla FC: 11.3 shots per match, Rayo Vallecano: 13.6.
Match halves
Sevilla FC: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.81. Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Sevilla FC: 76-90+ (9 goals). Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Sevilla is in 13th place in the table and shows unstable form at home, winning only 31% of their home matches with a 46% loss rate. Rayo Vallecano occupies the 12th position, but they perform even worse in away games, with just a 23% win rate and as many as 62% losses on the road. A key factor is Rayo's poor attacking efficiency away from home (54% of matches without a scored goal, averaging 0.85 goals) and their -11 goal difference in away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is similar (Sevilla: 1.2 PPG, Rayo: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering the poor efficiency of both sides and their struggles in scoring, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Sevilla a minimally higher chance of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sevilla FC | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sevilla FC · 1.6 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sevilla FC is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Sevilla FC · 1 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Sevilla FC · 1.23 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla FC scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Sevilla FC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sevilla FC
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Sevilla FC · 1.31 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sevilla FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sevilla FC
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Sevilla FC | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sevilla FC 1 - 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished Sevilla FC 1:1 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla FC score 1.31 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 1.00. The La Liga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Sevilla FC's matches and 42% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games Sevilla FC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
The statistical background for Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.