Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Shabana displays solid home form with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of 0 at their stadium; however, their last 5 home matches show instability (wllllwddwwwl). Murang'a SEAL boasts a better scoring average away from home (1.54 goals per match) and a positive goal difference (+4), as well as higher ball possession (52%). Both teams have an identical points tally in their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and similar overall form (lwwwl vs wwllw). Considering Murang'a SEAL's high percentage of draws away from home (38%) and the balanced xG statistics of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shabana played Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 19 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shabana: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shabana scores 1.20 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.32 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shabana 48%, Murang'a SEAL 64%. Over 2.5: Shabana 40%, Murang'a SEAL 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Murang'a SEAL has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. Shabana: 10.1 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.8.
Match halves
Shabana: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.16. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Shabana: 0-15 (23 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Shabana displays solid home form with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of 0 at their stadium; however, their last 5 home matches show instability (wllllwddwwwl). Murang'a SEAL boasts a better scoring average away from home (1.54 goals per match) and a positive goal difference (+4), as well as higher ball possession (52%). Both teams have an identical points tally in their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and similar overall form (lwwwl vs wwllw). Considering Murang'a SEAL's high percentage of draws away from home (38%) and the balanced xG statistics of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shabana | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shabana is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Shabana · 1 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Shabana · 1.32 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Shabana scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shabana
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shabana is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Shabana · 1.08 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shabana
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shabana | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.28 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 28% | 22% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shabana 0 - 1 - 0 Murang'a SEAL. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Shabana 1:0 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
Shabana score 1.20 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.32. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Shabana's matches and 64% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Shabana and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Shabana have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.