Shabana vs Sofapaka: match statistics
Shabana is in significantly better form than Sofapaka, as evidenced by their last five matches—the hosts have secured 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws) with a 7:3 goal difference, while the visitors have managed only 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses) and have not scored a single goal. Shabana's home stats demonstrate solidity—33% win rate and only 1.17 goals conceded on average per match, with a positive goal difference. Sofapaka suffers from a disastrous away record—57% loss rate, 57% matches without scoring, and just 0.86 goals per match against an average of 1 conceded. xG metrics also favor the hosts (0.77 vs 0.68), and the possession difference (48% vs 44%) confirms Shabana's advantage. The visitors' recent away form (a streak of 4 losses in 5 matches) and overall offensive weakness (0 goals in the last 5 matches) indicate a high probability of a home victory, although Sofapaka's solid defense might keep the winning margin narrow.
Shabana vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shabana played Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shabana: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Sofapaka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shabana scores 1.13 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Sofapaka scores 0.75 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shabana 50%, Sofapaka 31%. Over 2.5: Shabana 38%, Sofapaka 25%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Shabana has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.35. Shabana: 10.4 shots per match, Sofapaka: 9.2.
Match halves
Shabana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Sofapaka: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Shabana: 0-15 (11 goals). Sofapaka: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shabana is in significantly better form than Sofapaka, as evidenced by their last five matches—the hosts have secured 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws) with a 7:3 goal difference, while the visitors have managed only 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses) and have not scored a single goal. Shabana's home stats demonstrate solidity—33% win rate and only 1.17 goals conceded on average per match, with a positive goal difference. Sofapaka suffers from a disastrous away record—57% loss rate, 57% matches without scoring, and just 0.86 goals per match against an average of 1 conceded. xG metrics also favor the hosts (0.77 vs 0.68), and the possession difference (48% vs 44%) confirms Shabana's advantage. The visitors' recent away form (a streak of 4 losses in 5 matches) and overall offensive weakness (0 goals in the last 5 matches) indicate a high probability of a home victory, although Sofapaka's solid defense might keep the winning margin narrow.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shabana | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shabana is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Shabana · 0.4 pts / match - Sofapaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shabana is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Shabana · 0.75 goals / match - Sofapaka
Shabana is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Shabana · 1.13 goals / match - Sofapaka
Shabana scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Sofapaka scores in 44% of matches (7 of 16 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shabana
Over / Under - Sofapaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shabana is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Shabana · 1.19 pts / match - Sofapaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shabana
Sofapaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shabana | Liga | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.06 | 1.92 | • 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 38% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Shabana vs Sofapaka?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Shabana 1:0 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shabana vs Sofapaka?
Shabana score 1.13 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.75. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Shabana's matches and 31% of Sofapaka's.
What form are Shabana and Sofapaka in?
Over the last 5 games Shabana have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shabana vs Sofapaka?
The statistical background for Shabana vs Sofapaka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.