Shabana vs Tusker: match statistics
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Shabana vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shabana play Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 13:00.
Current form
Shabana: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tusker: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shabana scores 1.14 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shabana 43%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: Shabana 39%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Shabana has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.42. Shabana: 10.5 shots per match, Tusker: 10.9.
Match halves
Shabana: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.14. Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
Shabana: 0-15 (25 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shabana | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shabana is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Shabana · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shabana is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Shabana · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker
Tusker is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Shabana · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker
Shabana scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Shabana
Over / Under — Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shabana is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Shabana · 1.1 pts / match - Tusker
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (25 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shabana
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shabana | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.21 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 43% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 25% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shabana 0 - 1 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Shabana and Tusker play?
Shabana face Tusker on 1 March 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shabana vs Tusker?
Shabana score 1.14 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Shabana's matches and 34% of Tusker's.
What form are Shabana and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Shabana have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tusker 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shabana vs Tusker?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.