Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm: match statistics

Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 3rd and remain unbeaten after 7 matches, while Shahin Bandar Ameri are 12th and have won only 1 of their 7 games. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 1 goal in that run; the hosts have managed 1 win and conceded 9 goals over the same period. Away from home, Shenavarsazi concede an average of 0.25 goals and keep a clean sheet in 75% of their matches, which could limit the hosts, who average 1.33 goals at home. The draw remains a significant possibility, however: half of the visitors' away matches have ended level, and they average just 0.75 goals scored on the road. Even so, Shenavarsazi Qeshm's edge in current form and defensive strength points to an away win.

The strongest signal against both teams scoring is the clean-sheet record: the home side have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, while the visitors have done so in 75% of their away games. Shenavarsazi Qeshm have failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and their average of 0.75 goals is below the home side’s 1.33 goals per game at home. The share of matches in which both teams have scored so far is also just 33% for the hosts and 25% for the visitors, against a league average of 36%. Although the hosts have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches, the visitors have conceded only 0.2, limiting the chances of Shahin Bandar Ameri finding the net. Therefore, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not surpassed in any of the away team’s matches included in the analysis and in 67% of the home team’s matches. The visitors concede just 0.25 goals per game on average and have let in only one goal across their last five matches, limiting the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors’ attack is also modest, averaging 0.75 goals, while the hosts concede 0.67 goals per game on average. The forecast of 1.70 total goals is close to the league average of 1.82 and points to a low-scoring game. Although Under 2.5 goals landed in 67% of the home team’s matches and 75% of the visitors’ matches, the 3.5 line offers a clearer margin of safety against the risk of exactly three goals.

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: the home side were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while the away side were level in 3 of 4 away games; across their last 5 matches, those figures were 60% and 80%, respectively. Shenavarsazi Qeshm kept a clean sheet in the first half of all 5 of its most recent matches, further reducing the likelihood of the hosts taking an early lead. The latest form points to the visitors having the edge after the break: they won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 for the hosts, and conceded an average of 0.2 goals per game against 1.8. In those same 5 matches, the visitors won the second half 60% of the time, while the hosts did not win it at all. The hosts did, however, win the second half in all 3 of their home matches to date, so a final draw remains a notable alternative. Nevertheless, the combination of frequent half-time draws and the visitors’ stronger current form supports a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2).