Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty: match statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat. The hosts are in dominant form at home, winning 75% of their home matches and scoring an average of 3.13 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal. Karpaty are in 10th place with average away form (38% wins, 25% losses) and poor form in their last five matches (0.8 points per game). Shakhtar's huge advantage in possession (66% vs 51%), shot accuracy (19% vs 9%), and expected goals (2.29 xG vs 1.51 xG) further confirms their clear superiority. The class difference between the league leaders and a mid-table side should translate into a comfortable home victory.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shakhtar Donetsk played Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Karpaty: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk scores 2.63 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.25 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shakhtar Donetsk 38%, Karpaty 50%. Over 2.5: Shakhtar Donetsk 56%, Karpaty 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Shakhtar Donetsk has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.74. Shakhtar Donetsk: 16.1 shots per match, Karpaty: 14.8.
Match halves
Shakhtar Donetsk: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.56. Karpaty: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Shakhtar Donetsk: 76-90+ (15 goals). Karpaty: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat. The hosts are in dominant form at home, winning 75% of their home matches and scoring an average of 3.13 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal. Karpaty are in 10th place with average away form (38% wins, 25% losses) and poor form in their last five matches (0.8 points per game). Shakhtar's huge advantage in possession (66% vs 51%), shot accuracy (19% vs 9%), and expected goals (2.29 xG vs 1.51 xG) further confirms their clear superiority. The class difference between the league leaders and a mid-table side should translate into a comfortable home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk · 0.8 pts / match - Karpaty
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
2.63 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk · 1.25 goals / match - Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk · 1.31 goals / match - Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Karpaty scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Shakhtar Donetsk keeps a clean sheet in 63% (10 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shakhtar Donetsk
Over / Under - Karpaty
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk · 1.06 pts / match - Karpaty
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shakhtar Donetsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +13 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Liga | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.58 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk 0 - 1 - 0 Karpaty. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Shakhtar Donetsk 3:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.63 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.25. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Shakhtar Donetsk's matches and 50% of Karpaty's.
What form are Shakhtar Donetsk and Karpaty in?
Over the last 5 games Shakhtar Donetsk have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Karpaty 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
The statistical background for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.