Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya: match statistics

Shakhtar Donetsk have won all 3 league matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 1, while Polissia have a record of 2 wins and 1 defeat with a 6:4 goal difference. The hosts are particularly dangerous at home: they average 18 shots, 8 of them on target, score 5 goals per match, and maintain 71% possession. Polissia also create chances, with an average xG of 2.0, but their defence allows opponents an xG of 0.67—more than double Shakhtar’s 0.32. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals during that run, while the visitors have suffered 2 defeats and conceded 9 goals over the same period. Polissia should find opportunities, as neither team has yet recorded a scoreless home or away match, but Shakhtar’s greater control and efficiency point to a home win.

Both teams have a BTTS rate of 100% in the current season data, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet. Shakhtar score an average of 2.0 goals but concede 1.5, while Polessya also score 2.0 goals on average and concede 1.0. Polessya’s form particularly supports the home team to score, as they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches and recorded BTTS in 100% of those games. Shakhtar have been defensively more stable over their last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded, but Polessya create high-quality chances with an xG of 1.85 and average 6.0 shots on target per match. Although the league-wide BTTS average is only 41%, the combination of regularly scoring teams with no clean sheets provides a clearer signal for BTTS - Yes.

Both teams are averaging 2.0 goals per match in the current campaign, and each has exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far. Polessya creates particularly many chances, with an average xG of 2.00, along with 15.0 shots and 6.0 shots on target per match, while Shakhtar are yet to keep a clean sheet. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 2.2 goals scored and the visitors 2.0, while Polessya conceded 1.8 goals per game during that period. The projected total of 2.61 goals provides a clear edge towards Over 1.5, whereas the 2.5 line remains riskier, as Shakhtar went Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their last five appearances.

Shakhtar led at the break in both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 1.0 goal before half-time and conceding none. Polessya were level at half-time in their only available away fixture, but allowed their opponent to score an average of 1.0 goal in the first half. In their last five matches, Shakhtar have won 80% of their games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Polessya have suffered defeats in 40% of their matches over the same period and conceded an average of 1.8 goals. The hosts also have the stronger current defensive record after the break, conceding an average of 0.6 goals compared with Polessya’s 1.2. The most likely scenario is therefore that Shakhtar will capitalise on their advantage from the outset and maintain their lead until the final whistle.