Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne: match statistics
Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shamrock Rovers played Shelbourne in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Shelbourne: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shamrock Rovers scores 1.44 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Shelbourne scores 1.44 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shamrock Rovers 44%, Shelbourne 78%. Over 2.5: Shamrock Rovers 22%, Shelbourne 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Shelbourne has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.46. Shamrock Rovers: 12.2 shots per match, Shelbourne: 13.7.
Match halves
Shamrock Rovers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Shelbourne: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Shamrock Rovers: 76-90+ (6 goals). Shelbourne: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shamrock Rovers should win this match: the hosts concede only 0.25 goals per home game on average and have 75% clean sheets at home, while Shelbourne concede 0.75 on the road and have only 25% clean sheets. The home side creates better chances — on average 5 shots on target and 11.75 total shots at home with 13% conversion, whereas the visitors have more attempts (14.75) but only 3.75 on target and 10% conversion, giving Shamrock a qualitative edge despite the visitors’ slightly higher xG (1.55 vs 1.47 for the hosts). Offensively both teams average 1.5 goals per game over the season, and in the last 5 matches Shamrock scored 6 goals versus Shelbourne’s 7, so short-term finishing is comparable. Additionally Shamrock have a 75% home win rate and zero home defeats (home goal difference +5), indicating a real home advantage in result stability. Considering the better defense (0.25 vs 0.75 conceded goals per home/away game), higher number of shots on target (5 vs 3.75) and greater possession (63% vs 56%), I assess the probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 25%, away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display very high season BTTS rates: Shamrock Rovers 80% and Shelbourne 75%, versus a league average of 49%, indicating a strong team-level signal for BTTS - Yes. xG analysis shows realistic chances for both sides — Shamrock has xG For 1.43 against Shelbourne xG Against 1.25 (projected average ~1.34 for Shamrock), while Shelbourne has xG For 1.55 against Shamrock xG Against 1.60 (average ~1.58 for Shelbourne), so both sides have expected values above ~1.3 goals. Shot and conversion stats (approx. 3.6 and 3.75 shots on target with 11% and 10% conversion) corroborate season scoring averages of 1.4 and 1.5, maintaining realistic chances for goals from both teams. Although in the last 5 matches Shamrock’s BTTS is lower at 40% versus Shelbourne 60% and recent goal averages of 1.2 (Shamrock) and 1.4 (Shelbourne) are reduced, the dominant season profiles 80%/75% combined with projected xG favor the Both Teams To Score scenario; therefore BTTS = Yes is the recommended pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal data and the share of matches with both teams scoring strongly support Over 1.5: Shamrock has 80% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Shelbourne 75%, and the share of BTTS matches is 80% and 75% respectively. xG analysis gives expected goals of 1.34 for the home side (attack xG 1.43 vs opponent defense 1.25) and 1.58 for the away side (attack xG 1.55 vs home defense 1.60), totaling ~2.92 goals. Since the total of 2.92 is clearly above 1.5 and slightly above 2.5, Over 1.5 is the strongest signal (88%), while Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (60% vs 40%). Although Shamrock records 60% of matches over 3.5, Shelbourne has 0% such matches and the combined xG is below 3.5, so Under 3.5 appears safer (68%). Additionally, average shots 12.8 vs 14.75 and shots on target 3.6 vs 3.75, along with conversion rates 11%/10%, confirm that the chances created should be sufficient for at least 2 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Shamrock Rovers draw at half-time in 80% of their home matches and have not led at the break (0% leads), while Shelbourne led at half-time in 50% of their games; however, this does not offset Shamrock’s strong tendency to be level after 45 minutes. Over 90 minutes the favorites are the visitors: Shelbourne have 75% wins and an average of 2.5 points per match versus Shamrock’s mere 0% wins and 0.6 points, and the visitors’ xG is 1.55 compared to the hosts’ 1.43. Shelbourne’s defense concedes on average 0.75 goals per match versus 1.8 conceded by Shamrock, and the visitors have a positive second-half goal difference of +2 and win the second half in 50% of matches, which indicates the away side’s strength after the break. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Shelbourne win at full-time (X/2). Additionally, both teams have a high percentage of BTTS games (hosts 80%, visitors 75%), so the half-time draw is most likely to be with goals, while the visitors’ quality advantage should decide the outcome late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shamrock Rovers | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shamrock Rovers is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.6 pts / match - Shelbourne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shamrock Rovers is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.33 goals / match - Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Shelbourne scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Shamrock Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shamrock Rovers
Over / Under - Shelbourne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shamrock Rovers is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.22 pts / match - Shelbourne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shamrock Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shelbourne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Shamrock Rovers | Liga | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 42% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Shamrock Rovers 1 - 3 - 1 Shelbourne. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
The Premier Division match finished Shamrock Rovers 3:2 Shelbourne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Shamrock Rovers won 1, Shelbourne won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Shamrock Rovers score 1.44 goals per game on average and Shelbourne 1.44. The Premier Division average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Shamrock Rovers's matches and 78% of Shelbourne's.
What form are Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne in?
Over the last 5 games Shamrock Rovers have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Shelbourne 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.