Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a high probability of a draw. Shams Azar Qazvin shows solid home form with a 67% draw rate and an impressive unbeaten run in their last 5 matches (1W-4D). The hosts are tough to beat at home, conceding just 0 goals in their last 5 matches. Mes Rafsanjan has a very poor away form (0% wins, 78% losses), but their overall last 5 matches show improvement (1W-2D-2L). The expected goals (xG) for both teams are similar, confirming their balanced strength. Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' offensive struggles, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow home win.
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shams Azar Qazvin play Mes Rafsanjan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Shams Azar Qazvin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mes Rafsanjan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shams Azar Qazvin scores 0.65 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.59 and concedes 1.32. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shams Azar Qazvin 30%, Mes Rafsanjan 27%. Over 2.5: Shams Azar Qazvin 13%, Mes Rafsanjan 27%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Shams Azar Qazvin has higher xG: 0.97 vs 0.87. Shams Azar Qazvin: 3.3 shots per match, Mes Rafsanjan: -0.3.
Match halves
Shams Azar Qazvin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.52. Mes Rafsanjan: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Shams Azar Qazvin: 46-60 (4 goals). Mes Rafsanjan: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a high probability of a draw. Shams Azar Qazvin shows solid home form with a 67% draw rate and an impressive unbeaten run in their last 5 matches (1W-4D). The hosts are tough to beat at home, conceding just 0 goals in their last 5 matches. Mes Rafsanjan has a very poor away form (0% wins, 78% losses), but their overall last 5 matches show improvement (1W-2D-2L). The expected goals (xG) for both teams are similar, confirming their balanced strength. Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' offensive struggles, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shams Azar Qazvin is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 0.59 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan
Shams Azar Qazvin is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 1.32 goals / match - Mes Rafsanjan
Shams Azar Qazvin scores in 43% of matches (10 of 23 matches), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 36% of matches (8 of 22 matches), while Shams Azar Qazvin keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Shams Azar Qazvin
Over / Under — Mes Rafsanjan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shams Azar Qazvin - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shams Azar Qazvin
Mes Rafsanjan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Liga | Mes Rafsanjan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.48 | 1.79 | ▲ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 28% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shams Azar Qazvin 0 - 1 - 0 Mes Rafsanjan. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Shams Azar Qazvin 2:0 Mes Rafsanjan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.65 goals per game on average and Mes Rafsanjan 0.59. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Shams Azar Qazvin's matches and 27% of Mes Rafsanjan's.
What form are Shams Azar Qazvin and Mes Rafsanjan in?
Over the last 5 games Shams Azar Qazvin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mes Rafsanjan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.