Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu: match statistics
Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shanghai Jiading played Hebei Kungfu in China League One (China). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Shanghai Jiading: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Hebei Kungfu: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shanghai Jiading scores 1.33 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Hebei Kungfu scores 0.50 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shanghai Jiading 58%, Hebei Kungfu 33%. Over 2.5: Shanghai Jiading 58%, Hebei Kungfu 33%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Shanghai Jiading has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Shanghai Jiading: 9.0 shots per match, Hebei Kungfu: 10.3.
Match halves
Shanghai Jiading: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67. Hebei Kungfu: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Shanghai Jiading: 31-45+ (4 goals). Hebei Kungfu: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I expect a home win. Shanghai Jiading sit 6th, have scored 16 goals at home this season (1.4 per game) and average 1.45 xG at home, while Hebei Kungfu are 15th and have scored only 6 goals on the road this season (0.2 per game) with 1.01 xG. The difference in finishing is clear: the hosts convert at 13% and average 3.2 shots on target per game, whereas the visitors convert at just 2% and average 2.2 shots on target; additionally Hebei have not won any away games (0% wins) and failed to score in 80% of their away trips. Defensively the hosts concede 1.6 goals per home game with an xG against of 1.22, while the visitors concede 1.0 on the road with xG against 1.35, which indicates that the hosts’ attacking edge and superior efficiency explain favoring Shanghai Jiading. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 2.0 points per game and the visitors 1.0, therefore I assign a higher probability to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long metrics show Shanghai Jiading scores 0.71 goals per match while Hebei Kungfu scores just 0.20; xG is 1.20 for Shanghai and 1.01 for Hebei, indicating chance creation but poor finishing. Season BTTS rates are 43% for Shanghai and 20% for Hebei versus a league average of 54%, so both teams sit below league average for BTTS. Hebei keeps a clean sheet in 40% of matches and has a shot conversion rate of just 2% (Shanghai 6%), which significantly reduces the likelihood Hebei will score in this fixture. In the last 5 matches Shanghai has BTTS of 60% and averages 1.2 goals per game, while Hebei averages 0.6 goals in their last 5, partially increasing BTTS probability but not offsetting season-long disparities. Overall, given Hebei’s 6 goals this season, 40% clean sheets and low conversion rates, I recommend backing 'No' (No Goal/clean sheet expected) with an approximate probability of 70% for 'No' and 30% for 'Yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG for both teams points to a moderate number of chances: Shanghai Jiading xG_for 1.20 vs Hebei 1.01, and opponents' xG_against are 1.35 (Hebei) and 1.13 (Shanghai), yielding a theoretical 1.28 goals for the home side and 1.07 for the away side (total 2.35). However, actual season goal averages are much lower: hosts score 0.71 on average, visitors 0.20 (0.91 combined), and shot conversion rates are only 6% and 2%, so xG must be adjusted downward. In the last 5 matches the home team averages 1.2 goals, the away team 0.6 (1.8 combined), and season shares of matches over 2.5 are 43% for Shanghai and 20% for Hebei; both teams have 0% of matches over 3.5 goals. Combining signals (xG 2.35, form over last 5 matches 1.8) and the correction for low finishing, I set expected goals at ~1.14 for the home side and ~0.93 for the away side (sum 2.07). Therefore the strongest signal is Under 2.5 — a Poisson model with mu=2.07 gives about a 34% chance for Over 2.5 vs 66% for Under 2.5; Over 1.5 remains moderately likely (~62%), and Over 3.5 has a low probability (~15%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1). The visitors have been level at the break in 100% of their matches and average 0.0 goals in the first 45 minutes, which strongly increases the probability of a HT draw. At the same time, the home side posts better scoring numbers: seasonal goal average 0.71 versus 0.20 for the visitors, xG 1.20 vs 1.01, more shots (11.14 vs 9.0) and shots on target (3.43 vs 2.2), and higher conversion rate (6% vs 2%). In the last 5 matches the home team won 60% of games versus 20% for the visitors, and the hosts scored 8 first-half goals compared to 0 for the opponents (goals 31–45: 3 vs 0), suggesting decisive strikes may come after the break. On that basis I assign the highest probability to the X/1 scenario, with a moderate probability of a full-time draw or the home side leading at half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shanghai Jiading | Hebei Kungfu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shanghai Jiading is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Shanghai Jiading · 1 pts / match - Hebei Kungfu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shanghai Jiading is 166% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Shanghai Jiading · 0.5 goals / match - Hebei Kungfu
Hebei Kungfu is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Shanghai Jiading · 1.17 goals / match - Hebei Kungfu
Shanghai Jiading scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Hebei Kungfu keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Hebei Kungfu scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Shanghai Jiading keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shanghai Jiading
Over / Under - Hebei Kungfu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shanghai Jiading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hebei Kungfu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shanghai Jiading
Hebei Kungfu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Shanghai Jiading | Liga | Hebei Kungfu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.53 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Shanghai Jiading 0 - 1 - 1 Hebei Kungfu. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu?
The China League One match finished Shanghai Jiading 2:1 Hebei Kungfu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shanghai Jiading and Hebei Kungfu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Shanghai Jiading won 0, Hebei Kungfu won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu?
Shanghai Jiading score 1.33 goals per game on average and Hebei Kungfu 0.50. The China League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Shanghai Jiading's matches and 33% of Hebei Kungfu's.
What form are Shanghai Jiading and Hebei Kungfu in?
Over the last 5 games Shanghai Jiading have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Hebei Kungfu 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu?
The statistical background for Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.