Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG: match statistics
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shanghai Shenhua played Shanghai SIPG in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shanghai Shenhua: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Shanghai SIPG: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shanghai Shenhua scores 2.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Shanghai SIPG scores 1.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shanghai Shenhua 100%, Shanghai SIPG 75%. Over 2.5: Shanghai Shenhua 50%, Shanghai SIPG 75%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Shanghai Shenhua has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.73. Shanghai Shenhua: 16.3 shots per match, Shanghai SIPG: 14.8.
Match halves
Shanghai Shenhua: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25. Shanghai SIPG: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Shanghai Shenhua: 31-45+ (3 goals). Shanghai SIPG: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Shanghai Shenhua score an average of 5 goals per home match from 21 shots and 11 on target, with a conversion rate of 24%, whereas Shanghai SIPG average 0 goals away, only 1 shot on target per match and a 100% share of matches without a goal. Hosts generate 2.57 xG per home match versus 0.92 xG for the visitors away, and in the last 5 matches Shenhua have scored 10 and conceded 9, while SIPG have scored 7 and conceded 7. Shenhua’s home win rate is 100%, and SIPG have 100% away defeats, with points per match in the last 5 at 1.6 for the hosts and 1.2 for the visitors, reinforcing the home advantage. It should be noted, however, that Shenhua concede on average 3 goals per home match, so I expect an open, high-scoring game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS probability at 68% (Yes) vs 32% (No). Shanghai Shenhua has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while the league average BTTS is 59%, which strongly favors goals from both sides. Shanghai SIPG averages 1.4 goals in the last 5 matches (7 goals total) and has 7 goals season-to-date, so despite a low average of shots on target (1.0) and xG 0.92 they still find the net. Shenhua’s attack is clearly stronger with xG 2.00, an average of 6.0 shots on target and a seasonal goals average of 2.33, while conceding on average 1.33 goals season-to-date (1.8 in the last 5), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. On this basis I recommend the 'BTTS - Yes' selection as more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.50 xG for Shanghai Shenhua (attack xG 2.00 vs opponent defense 0.99) and 1.23 xG for Shanghai SIPG (attack xG 0.92 vs home defense 1.54), totaling 2.73 expected goals. In the last 5 matches both teams averaged 3.4 goals combined (home 2.0 vs away 1.4), while the league average is 3.19, which historically increases the probability of an Over 2.5 goals outcome. Shanghai Shenhua averages 17 shots and 6 on target per match versus SIPG’s 8 shots and 1 on target, and the home side’s conversion rate is 14%, indicating higher offensive pressure and realistic scoring opportunities. A Poisson model with lambda=2.73 yields ~76% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~52% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~29% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5); therefore I recommend the Over 2.5 line as the strongest signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side holds a clear offensive advantage: xG 2.00 vs 0.92, an average of 6.0 shots on target vs 1.0 and average goals 2.33 vs 0.00, so a scenario of the home team leading at the break and winning is the strongest. I expect Shenhua to score by Half-Time, as in the last five matches they averaged 1.0 goal by the break vs 0.4 for SIPG (last5_GoalsHT 10 vs 5) and led at the break in 40% of those games compared to 20% for the visitors. The advantage persists after the break — the home side averages 1.67 goals in the second half vs 0.0 for the away team (scored_2hg_avg 1.67 vs 0.0), increasing the likelihood of maintaining or extending the lead. The visitors show dramatically poor efficiency (1.0 shot on target and 0.0% conversion) and a seasonal record of 0% wins and 100% losses, so scenarios with them leading are unlikely; therefore the distribution favors 1/1 (48%) with X/1 as a realistic alternative (20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shanghai Shenhua | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shanghai Shenhua is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.5 pts / match - Shanghai SIPG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shanghai Shenhua is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.75 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Shanghai SIPG is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.25 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Shanghai SIPG keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Shanghai SIPG scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Shanghai Shenhua keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shanghai Shenhua
Over / Under - Shanghai SIPG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shanghai Shenhua is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.25 pts / match - Shanghai SIPG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shanghai Shenhua - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shanghai SIPG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai SIPG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Shanghai Shenhua | Liga | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.14 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Shanghai Shenhua 0 - 1 - 1 Shanghai SIPG. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG?
The Chinese Super League match finished Shanghai Shenhua 1:0 Shanghai SIPG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shanghai Shenhua and Shanghai SIPG?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 0, Shanghai SIPG won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG?
Shanghai Shenhua score 2.50 goals per game on average and Shanghai SIPG 1.75. The Chinese Super League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Shanghai Shenhua's matches and 75% of Shanghai SIPG's.
What form are Shanghai Shenhua and Shanghai SIPG in?
Over the last 5 games Shanghai Shenhua have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Shanghai SIPG 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai SIPG: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


