Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu: match statistics
Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shanghai Shenhua played Sichuan Jiuniu in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Shanghai Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Shanghai Shenhua: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Sichuan Jiuniu: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shanghai Shenhua scores 2.00 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.15 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shanghai Shenhua 69%, Sichuan Jiuniu 54%. Over 2.5: Shanghai Shenhua 62%, Sichuan Jiuniu 38%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Shanghai Shenhua has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.17. Shanghai Shenhua: 16.3 shots per match, Sichuan Jiuniu: 11.0.
Match halves
Shanghai Shenhua: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00. Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Shanghai Shenhua: 31-45+ (7 goals). Sichuan Jiuniu: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Shanghai Shenhua average 2.43 goals per home match and win 57% of their home games, while Sichuan Jiuniu average only 0.5 goals on the road and have yet to record an away win. The quality of created chances is clearly in favor of the hosts: home xG 2.14 vs away xG 0.87, and average shots on target 7.57 vs 3. The visitors’ defense performs worse — Sichuan concedes 2.0 goals per away match with xG against 1.94, whereas Shenhua concede 1.57 at home with xG against 1.37; however, the hosts have shipped 12 goals in their last 5 home matches (2.4 avg), which indicates some risk. Form over the last 5 matches is poor for both sides (0.4 points per game each), but the hosts have scored 7 goals in that period versus the visitors’ 4; additionally, the hosts have no home clean sheets (0% matches without a goal), while Sichuan have been scoreless in 50% of their away games. Considering the superiority in goals (2.43 vs 0.5), xG (2.14 vs 0.87), shots (19.14 vs 7.67) and 57% home wins versus 83% away losses for the visitors, the hosts are the clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a clear recent BTTS trend: in 4 of the last 5 matches (80%) both Shanghai and Sichuan finished games with goals at both ends, and the league BTTS rate is 63%. Shanghai scores on average 1.71 goals per game with xG 1.41 and 26 goals this season, while Sichuan records only 0.5 goals per game and xG_for 0.87 with 15 goals this season, highlighting the hosts' offensive superiority. Defensively both teams are vulnerable: Sichuan concedes 2.0 goals per game and has recorded no clean sheets (0% CS), while Shanghai has conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches (12 conceded), which gives the visitors a realistic chance to score. Shanghai averages 3.71 shots on target per game versus Sichuan's 3.0 and has higher conversion (12% vs 7%), and the seasonal BTTS figures of 57% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors combined with 80% in the last 5 matches reinforce the Goal/Goal scenario. Therefore I recommend BTTS = Yes with an estimated probability of around 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals per model are 1.76 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.04 for Sichuan Jiuniu, totaling 2.80 goals, which is close to the league average of 2.95 goals per game. A Poisson model with λ=2.80 prices the probability of Over 1.5 at about 77%, Over 2.5 at about 53% and Over 3.5 at about 31%. Shanghai averages 13.86 shots per game (3.71 on target), with a season scoring average of 1.71 goals and xG 1.41; Sichuan averages 7.67 shots (3.00 on target), with 0.50 goals on average and xG 0.87 — these differences favor home pressure and a higher volume of chances. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal this season, Sichuan has no clean sheets (0%), and Shanghai has conceded an average of 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches (12 conceded), which increases the risk of goals from both sides. As a result I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal — 77% probability and expected 2.8 goals provide a clear edge versus the 2.5 (53%) and 3.5 (31%) lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Shanghai Shenhua holds a clear offensive edge: on average 1.71 goals per match with an xG of 1.41 and 13.86 shots, while Sichuan Jiuniu records 0.50 goals, xG 0.87 and 7.67 shots per match. At half-time the home side scores on average 1.00 goal versus 0.33 for the visitors and have been leading at the break in 29% of games, whereas a half-time draw occurred in 43% of their matches — therefore the most likely half-time states are a draw or a narrow home lead. The hosts earn 1.14 points in second halves compared to 0.17 points for the visitors and the away side concedes on average 2.00 goals per match, which increases the probability of the draw being overturned and Shanghai Shenhua winning after 90 minutes. On this basis I select the safest scenario as a Half-Time draw with Shanghai Shenhua winning Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shanghai Shenhua | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shanghai Shenhua is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.15 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.69 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Shanghai Shenhua keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shanghai Shenhua
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shanghai Shenhua is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / match - Shanghai Shenhua · 1.08 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shanghai Shenhua - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Shanghai Shenhua | Liga | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 67% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Shanghai Shenhua 1 - 0 - 1 Sichuan Jiuniu. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The Chinese Super League match finished Shanghai Shenhua 1:2 Sichuan Jiuniu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shanghai Shenhua and Sichuan Jiuniu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 1, Sichuan Jiuniu won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Shanghai Shenhua score 2.00 goals per game on average and Sichuan Jiuniu 1.15. The Chinese Super League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Shanghai Shenhua's matches and 54% of Sichuan Jiuniu's.
What form are Shanghai Shenhua and Sichuan Jiuniu in?
Over the last 5 games Shanghai Shenhua have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sichuan Jiuniu 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


