Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic: match statistics

Sheffield Wednesday sit 1st in the home standings, while Wigan Athletic are 24th in the away table. The hosts average 3.5 goals per home game, with an xG of 2.31 and 8.5 shots on target, whereas Wigan score just once per away match and have lost 100% of their games. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 2 goals away from home, allows opponents an xG of 1.58 and have kept no clean sheets. Sheffield Wednesday are not flawless defensively either, having conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, but their superior finishing, chance-creation quality and current run of three consecutive wins should tilt the result in the hosts’ favour.

The case for both teams to score is strengthened by the fact that neither side has kept a clean sheet yet, while Sheffield Wednesday and Wigan concede an average of 2.33 and 2.00 goals per match, respectively. Both teams also create enough chances: average xG stands at 1.47 for the hosts and 1.77 for the visitors, with 3.0 and 4.5 shots on target per game, respectively. In their last five matches, Sheffield Wednesday averaged 2.2 goals and Wigan 1.2, while their BTTS percentages stood at 60% and 40%. Their season BTTS records—33% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors—are below the league average of 66%, but Sheffield’s current attacking form and both teams’ defensive weaknesses slightly favour the BTTS - Yes scenario. The BTTS bet does not require a high-scoring result, and given the number of chances being conceded, the most likely outcome is that both sides will score at least once.

The match profile points to goals, with Sheffield Wednesday conceding an average of 2.33 goals and Wigan Athletic 2.00 per game, while neither side has kept a clean sheet. Wigan averages 1.77 xG and 4.5 shots on target per match, whereas the hosts allow opponents 1.51 xG. Sheffield has scored 2.2 goals per game across its last 5 matches, with an average xG of 1.75 during that period. At least 2 goals have been scored in all of the hosts’ matches so far and in 50% of Wigan’s games, while the league average of 3.17 goals further supports the prospect of an open, high-scoring game. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even with moderate finishing from both teams, the attacking data and defensive weaknesses indicate a high probability of at least two goals.

The strongest signal points to Sheffield Wednesday leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle, as the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Wigan were behind at the break in 2 of 5. During this period, Sheffield averaged 1.2 goals scored before half-time and conceded 0.6, whereas Wigan scored just 0.6 and conceded 0.8. Recent full-time results also favour the hosts: they won 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors lost 60% of theirs. Wigan do have the higher average xG, 1.77 compared with Sheffield’s 1.47, and average 4.5 shots on target per match versus Sheffield’s 3.0, but they also concede as many as 2.0 goals per game. The hosts have been more clinical recently, averaging 2.2 goals across their last five matches compared with Wigan’s 1.2, strengthening the 1/1 scenario.