Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a leaning towards a draw. Sheger Ketema sits lower in the table (15th place) but is playing at home, where they have drawn 40% of their matches this season and maintain a zero goal difference. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game) but has not won a single away match this season, drawing a staggering 67% of away games. Both teams have identical shot efficiency (17%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. The weak form of the hosts in the last 5 matches (0.8 points per game) and the lack of away victories for the guests argue for a draw as the most probable result of this meeting.
Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema played Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.25 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 55%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 75%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 45%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 42%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.15. Sheger Ketema: 7.8 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.9.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a leaning towards a draw. Sheger Ketema sits lower in the table (15th place) but is playing at home, where they have drawn 40% of their matches this season and maintain a zero goal difference. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game) but has not won a single away match this season, drawing a staggering 67% of away games. Both teams have identical shot efficiency (17%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. The weak form of the hosts in the last 5 matches (0.8 points per game) and the lack of away victories for the guests argue for a draw as the most probable result of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.4 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.25 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.17 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Sheger Ketema scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.08 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 28% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Sheger Ketema score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 75% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.