Sheger Ketema vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema sits in 3rd place in the table and presents solid away form with 83% clean sheets and just 0.17 goals conceded on average per away match. Sheger Ketema is on a poor run with just 0.4 points per match in their last 5 games and only 17% home wins this season. Despite this, the hosts are capable of scoring at their own stadium (averaging 1.17 goals), while Fasil Ketema struggles with attacking efficiency away from home (only 0.67 goals on average). Considering the defensive strength of the visitors (67% away draws) and the difficulties both teams face in scoring goals, a draw is the most probable result. However, the difference in team quality suggests the visitors hold a slight advantage over the underperforming hosts.
Sheger Ketema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema played Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.71 and concedes 0.36. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 54%, Fasil Ketema 21%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 38%, Fasil Ketema 0%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.18. Sheger Ketema: 7.8 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 8.8.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). Fasil Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema sits in 3rd place in the table and presents solid away form with 83% clean sheets and just 0.17 goals conceded on average per away match. Sheger Ketema is on a poor run with just 0.4 points per match in their last 5 games and only 17% home wins this season. Despite this, the hosts are capable of scoring at their own stadium (averaging 1.17 goals), while Fasil Ketema struggles with attacking efficiency away from home (only 0.67 goals on average). Considering the defensive strength of the visitors (67% away draws) and the difficulties both teams face in scoring goals, a draw is the most probable result. However, the difference in team quality suggests the visitors hold a slight advantage over the underperforming hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.6 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.71 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 219% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.36 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Sheger Ketema scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 71% (10 of 14 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.43 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.08 | 1.70 | ▼ 1.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 42% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Fasil Ketema?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.71. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 21% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.