Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most likely outcome. Sheger Ketema exhibits solid home form with 67% draws and only 22% losses at home, and they have not lost a single game in their last five overall (4 draws, 1 win). Mebrat Hayl struggles away from home with only 11% wins and as many as 67% of matches without scoring a goal, although they maintain good possession (55%). Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – the hosts score an average of 0.78 goals per match at home, while the visitors average only 0.33 away. Considering Sheger Ketema's defensive stability in recent matches (only 1 goal conceded in 5 games) and Mebrat Hayl's offensive woes on the road, I expect a balanced, low-scoring match ending in a share of the points.
Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema played Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.78 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.58 and concedes 0.53. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 44%, Mebrat Hayl 21%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 28%, Mebrat Hayl 16%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Sheger Ketema has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.08. Sheger Ketema: 7.4 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 6.8.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.39. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 16-30 (3 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most likely outcome. Sheger Ketema exhibits solid home form with 67% draws and only 22% losses at home, and they have not lost a single game in their last five overall (4 draws, 1 win). Mebrat Hayl struggles away from home with only 11% wins and as many as 67% of matches without scoring a goal, although they maintain good possession (55%). Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – the hosts score an average of 0.78 goals per match at home, while the visitors average only 0.33 away. Considering Sheger Ketema's defensive stability in recent matches (only 1 goal conceded in 5 games) and Mebrat Hayl's offensive woes on the road, I expect a balanced, low-scoring match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.58 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.53 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Sheger Ketema scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 42% of matches (8 of 19 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.95 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.67 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 0 - 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 0:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Sheger Ketema score 0.78 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.58. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 21% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.