Shelbourne vs Waterford: match statistics
Shelbourne vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shelbourne played Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Tolka Park. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Shelbourne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Waterford: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shelbourne scores 1.43 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.46 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shelbourne 71%, Waterford 63%. Over 2.5: Shelbourne 60%, Waterford 51%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Shelbourne has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.49. Shelbourne: 14.1 shots per match, Waterford: 13.6.
Match halves
Shelbourne: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.91. Waterford: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Shelbourne: 46-60 (11 goals). Waterford: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-2. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shelbourne go into the match in 4th place and are unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 4 wins and a draw, while eighth-placed Waterford have won 3 times and lost twice. The hosts have scored 12 goals and conceded 5 over that period, compared with 11 scored and 8 conceded by the visitors, pointing to Shelbourne’s superior current form. At home, Shelbourne average 1.66 xG and 4.65 shots on target, while Waterford allow opponents 2.06 xG on the road and concede an average of 2.18 goals. Caution is warranted, however, as the hosts have won only 24% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.65 goals in them, giving Waterford a chance to score. Even so, the visitors’ away losses in 59% of their matches and negative goal difference on the road point to a Shelbourne win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 67% of Shelbourne's matches and 59% of Waterford's, while the rate was 80% for each team across their last 5 matches. Both sides have been prolific recently: the hosts have averaged 2.4 goals and the visitors 2.2 goals per match, with xG of 1.58 and 1.51 respectively. Shelbourne's chances of scoring are boosted by Waterford's defence, which concedes an average of 2.18 goals per match this season and 1.6 in its last 5 games. The visitors also have a solid case to find the net: they average 1.35 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.22. The main risk to BTTS - Yes is that Waterford have failed to score in 35% of their matches; however, the overall scoring trends and recent results point towards both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 83% of Shelbourne matches and 82% of Waterford matches. The hosts average 1.56 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.18, which points to goals for Shelbourne. In their last five matches, the teams scored 2.4 and 2.2 goals per game, respectively, although their average xG over that period was lower, at 1.58 and 1.51. Therefore, the 3.10-goal projection also supports Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line is backed more strongly by both teams’ results.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely starting point: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while their season-long rates for this outcome stand at 39% and 41%, respectively. Waterford taking the lead cannot be ruled out, as they have averaged 1.0 first-half goals across their last five matches, compared with Shelbourne’s 0.4. However, the hosts are considerably stronger after the break. Over the same period, Shelbourne averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half, while Waterford averaged 1.2 for and 1.2 against. The hosts have won the second half in each of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have lost it in 3 of 5; additionally, Waterford concede an average of 2.18 goals per match this season, compared with Shelbourne’s 1.22. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win is the strongest scenario, although the visitors’ recent first-half scoring form leaves room for a turnaround, with Shelbourne having to come from behind.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shelbourne | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shelbourne is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Shelbourne · 1.4 pts / match - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shelbourne is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Shelbourne · 1.69 goals / match - Waterford
Shelbourne scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).
Waterford scores in 71% of matches (25 of 35 matches), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shelbourne
Over / Under - Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Waterford is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Shelbourne · 1.17 pts / match - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shelbourne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shelbourne
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Shelbourne | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.77 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Shelbourne 3 - 2 - 2 Waterford. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Shelbourne 2:3 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shelbourne and Waterford?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Shelbourne won 3, Waterford won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne score 1.43 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.46. The Premier Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Shelbourne's matches and 63% of Waterford's.
What form are Shelbourne and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Shelbourne have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Waterford 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shelbourne vs Waterford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.