Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr: match statistics
The statistical analysis points to a balanced matchup between two out-of-form sides. Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 17th in the table and have not won any of their last five matches, scoring just 1 goal in that span. Ario Eslamshahr are 12th, but they have never won an away game this season (0% win rate), and in 71% of their away fixtures they failed to score. The hosts hold an edge in possession (55% vs 46%) and post a stronger home xG (1.72), but their finishing efficiency is low (13%). The high draw rates for both teams (43% for the hosts in home games, 57% for the visitors away) combined with limited attacking output on both sides suggest the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shenavarsazi Qeshm played Ario Eslamshahr in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shenavarsazi Qeshm: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ario Eslamshahr: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shenavarsazi Qeshm scores 0.31 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Ario Eslamshahr scores 0.56 and concedes 0.63. League average: 1.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 19%, Ario Eslamshahr 25%. Over 2.5: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 19%, Ario Eslamshahr 13%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Shenavarsazi Qeshm has higher xG: 0.88 vs 0.84. Shenavarsazi Qeshm: 1.9 shots per match, Ario Eslamshahr: 3.3.
Match halves
Shenavarsazi Qeshm: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.19. Ario Eslamshahr: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Shenavarsazi Qeshm: 0-15 (1 goals). Ario Eslamshahr: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.49 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The statistical analysis points to a balanced matchup between two out-of-form sides. Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 17th in the table and have not won any of their last five matches, scoring just 1 goal in that span. Ario Eslamshahr are 12th, but they have never won an away game this season (0% win rate), and in 71% of their away fixtures they failed to score. The hosts hold an edge in possession (55% vs 46%) and post a stronger home xG (1.72), but their finishing efficiency is low (13%). The high draw rates for both teams (43% for the hosts in home games, 57% for the visitors away) combined with limited attacking output on both sides suggest the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 16% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ario Eslamshahr is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Shenavarsazi Qeshm · 1 pts / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ario Eslamshahr is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
0.31 goals / match - Shenavarsazi Qeshm · 0.56 goals / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Ario Eslamshahr is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Shenavarsazi Qeshm · 0.63 goals / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Shenavarsazi Qeshm scores in 31% of matches (5 of 16 matches), while Ario Eslamshahr keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Ario Eslamshahr scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Shenavarsazi Qeshm keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Over / Under - Ario Eslamshahr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ario Eslamshahr is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Shenavarsazi Qeshm · 1.13 pts / match - Ario Eslamshahr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shenavarsazi Qeshm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ario Eslamshahr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Ario Eslamshahr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Liga | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.44 | 1.49 | ▼ 1.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 45% | • 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr?
The Azadegan League match finished Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1:0 Ario Eslamshahr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm score 0.31 goals per game on average and Ario Eslamshahr 0.56. The Azadegan League average is 1.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Shenavarsazi Qeshm's matches and 25% of Ario Eslamshahr's.
What form are Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Ario Eslamshahr in?
Over the last 5 games Shenavarsazi Qeshm have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ario Eslamshahr 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.