Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen: match statistics
Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shenzhen Juniors played Guangxi Hengchen in China League One (China). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Shenzhen Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Guangxi Hengchen: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shenzhen Juniors scores 1.80 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shenzhen Juniors 20%, Guangxi Hengchen 50%. Over 2.5: Shenzhen Juniors 60%, Guangxi Hengchen 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.35. Shenzhen Juniors: 10.4 shots per match, Guangxi Hengchen: 13.6.
Match halves
Shenzhen Juniors: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.90. Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Shenzhen Juniors: 76-90+ (6 goals). Guangxi Hengchen: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shenzhen Juniors are top of the table (1st) with a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses this season and excellent form — 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 points per game in that period. At home Shenzhen win 75% of matches, keep a clean sheet in 75% of games and concede only 0.75 goals per game on average, while Guangxi Hengchen sit 6th with 4 wins this season and concede 1.2 goals on average away with 20% clean sheets. Offensively both teams show similar output in the last 5 matches — 11 goals each — but Guangxi have slightly higher average away xG (1.68 vs 1.54 for the hosts) and better shot conversion (10% vs 9%), making them a dangerous opponent. Shenzhen’s key advantage is defensive stability: only 1 goal conceded in their last five home matches and an unbeaten run in the last 5 overall (wwwwd), whereas Guangxi’s away form is erratic ('lllwd' with three away defeats). Considering the 75% home efficiency, lower average goals conceded (0.75 vs 1.2) and the superior run of results, I favor a Shenzhen win, although their offensive edge is marginal.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS with 70% probability vs 30% for Yes. Shenzhen has a seasonal BTTS rate of 40% and keeps a clean sheet at home in 60% of matches, concedes on average 0.8 goals per game season-wide and only 0.2 in the last 5 matches, which significantly reduces the visitors' scoring chances. Guangxi has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% and scores 1.2 goals per game on average; both teams have similar xG: 1.64 (Shenzhen) vs 1.68 (Guangxi), so the visitors create chances but must convert them against a solid defense. Additionally, Shenzhen averages 5.2 shots on target vs 4.2 for the visitors and has scored 11 goals while conceding only 1 in the last 5 matches, whereas Guangxi conceded 4 goals in their last five, amplifying the home side’s defensive advantage. Given these numbers and the league BTTS rate of 48% and league clean sheet rate of 62%, Shenzhen’s defensive metrics prevail, so I pick No (No BTTS).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.34 for Shenzhen Juniors and 1.33 for Guangxi Hengchen (total 2.67), calculated from xG: 1.64 (Shenzhen) vs 1.04 (Guangxi defense) and 1.68 (Guangxi) vs 0.98 (Shenzhen defense). Seasonally Shenzhen scores 1.4 goals and averages 14.6 shots with 5.2 SOT, Guangxi has 1.2 goals, 12.6 shots and 4.2 SOT; with a 10% conversion both teams generate comparable real chances. In the last 5 matches both sides scored 11 goals each (2.2 per game); Shenzhen conceded a total of 1 goal (0.2 per game) and Guangxi 4 (0.8), which increases the likelihood of multiple strikes. Season-long metrics show Over 1.5 in 40% of home matches and 80% of away matches (approx. 60% average), Over 2.5 at 40%/60% (~50%), and Over 3.5 only 20%/0%, so Over 1.5 is the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time data strongly favor Shenzhen: the hosts led at the break in 3 of 5 matches (60%) and were never behind at half-time (0%), averaging 0.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded by the break. The visitors, conversely, were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 games (60%) and concede an average of 0.6 goals by the break, which increases the likelihood of the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Over the full match Shenzhen wins 60% of games, averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of fixtures, while the visitors have only a 20% win rate and 60% losses on the season. xG are similar (1.64 for Shenzhen vs 1.68 for Guangxi), but the hosts produce more shots (14.6 vs 12.6) and more shots on target (5.2 vs 4.2), giving them better control of the game and higher chances of maintaining a lead. On this basis the strongest signal is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shenzhen Juniors | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shenzhen Juniors is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors · 1.8 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shenzhen Juniors is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors · 1.3 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Shenzhen Juniors is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors · 1 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Shenzhen Juniors scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Shenzhen Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shenzhen Juniors
Over / Under - Guangxi Hengchen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shenzhen Juniors is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors · 1.7 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shenzhen Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shenzhen Juniors
Guangxi Hengchen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Shenzhen Juniors | Liga | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.37 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The China League One match finished Shenzhen Juniors 1:1 Guangxi Hengchen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Shenzhen Juniors score 1.80 goals per game on average and Guangxi Hengchen 1.30. The China League One average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Shenzhen Juniors's matches and 50% of Guangxi Hengchen's.
What form are Shenzhen Juniors and Guangxi Hengchen in?
Over the last 5 games Shenzhen Juniors have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Guangxi Hengchen 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Hengchen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.