Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with a high probability of a draw. Shire Endaselassie sits 12th in the table and shows poor recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), though they can rely on defensive stability at home (55% clean sheets). Fasil Ketema, despite a higher position (5th place), is experiencing a slump in form with 4 losses in the last 5 matches and just 0.2 points per match. The guests are characterized by a high percentage of away draws (55%), which, given the poor current disposition of both teams and identical goal differences (+1), argues for a share of the points. Low xG figures for both squads (0.97 vs 1.2) and a high percentage of matches without goals scored suggest a cautious, tight encounter ending in a draw.
Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shire Endaselassie played Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 9 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.68 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.73 and concedes 0.64. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shire Endaselassie 27%, Fasil Ketema 27%. Over 2.5: Shire Endaselassie 23%, Fasil Ketema 14%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.00. Shire Endaselassie: 6.2 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.4.
Match halves
Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.27. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Shire Endaselassie: 0-15 (4 goals). Fasil Ketema: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with a high probability of a draw. Shire Endaselassie sits 12th in the table and shows poor recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), though they can rely on defensive stability at home (55% clean sheets). Fasil Ketema, despite a higher position (5th place), is experiencing a slump in form with 4 losses in the last 5 matches and just 0.2 points per match. The guests are characterized by a high percentage of away draws (55%), which, given the poor current disposition of both teams and identical goal differences (+1), argues for a share of the points. Low xG figures for both squads (0.97 vs 1.2) and a high percentage of matches without goals scored suggest a cautious, tight encounter ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shire Endaselassie is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.2 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.73 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.64 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Shire Endaselassie scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shire Endaselassie
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.41 | 1.76 | ▼ 1.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shire Endaselassie 0 - 0 - 1 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 1:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.68 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 27% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.