Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shire Endaselassie played Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Venue: Shire Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Shire Endaselassie: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.61 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.85 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shire Endaselassie 27%, Hadiya Hosaena 48%. Over 2.5: Shire Endaselassie 18%, Hadiya Hosaena 27%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.02 vs 0.92. Shire Endaselassie: 5.1 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 5.6.
Match halves
Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.24. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Shire Endaselassie: 0-15 (5 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena holds a slight edge over Shire Endaselassie: they sit 12th vs 17th, have won 10 matches this season vs 8, and have scored 28 goals vs the hosts’ 20. In the last 5 fixtures both teams have scored 3 goals and share an identical record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, as well as the same average points per game 1.6, indicating comparable recent form. The difference appears in finishing efficiency and goal occurrence: Shire at home averages 0.69 goals and fail to score in 44% of matches, whereas Hadiya away average 0.75 goals and fail to score in only 31% of matches. xG slightly favors the visitors (xG for 0.98 vs 0.92), and conversion 15% vs 14% shows better finishing from Hadiya with nearly identical xG against (1.28 vs 1.27). Considering higher season goal totals, superior conversion and lower share of matches without a goal for the visitors, I back an Hadiya Hosaena win, though I expect a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No Goal' (no BTTS) with 70% probability versus 30% for 'BTTS - Yes'. Hadiya Hosaena concedes on average 0.69 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games, while the visitors’ seasonal BTTS rate is only 31%, strongly favoring no both-teams-to-score. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.94 and concedes 1.24 per match; hosts have a season BTTS of 65%, but in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred for both teams in only 20% of games. xG shows moderate offensive chances: home xG 1.05 vs away xG 0.98, with xG against the visitors at 1.28—higher than their actual 0.69 conceded—indicating effective defending. Additionally, the league averages 1.79 goals per match and BTTS in 41% of fixtures, and low on-target shots (2.24 and 1.88) plus a 15% conversion rate limit the probability of mutual scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: the home side has xG_for 1.05 while the away defense concedes xG 1.28 — average (1.05+1.28)/2 ≈ 1.17 goals for the home team; similarly the away team has xG_for 0.98 and the home defense concedes 1.35 => (0.98+1.35)/2 ≈ 1.17, totaling ≈ 2.34 goals. The home team records 76% of matches over 1.5 goals, the away team 38% — these historical rates combined with the projected 2.34 goals provide a strong signal for Over 1.5 (I estimate 78% for Over1.5 vs 22% Under1.5). On the 2.5 line the home side has 41% Over2.5, the away side 13% (base average ~27%), but xG=2.34 raises the chance of Over2.5 to about 42% (Under2.5 58%). BTTS and defensive signals are mixed: home BTTS 65%, but the away side keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches; additionally SOT 2.24 vs 1.88 and total shots 6.12 vs 5.13 with a 15% conversion indicate the home team creates more chances, which supports Over 1.5 more than Over 2.5/3.5. In summary, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (play: Over at 1.5); Over 2.5 (42%) and Over 3.5 (11%) are less convincing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At Half-Time the most likely outcome is a draw: the home team ended the first half level in 59% of matches and the away team in 56% (average ~57.5%), while the home side led at the break in only 6% of games and the visitors in 19%. The Full-Time result favors Hadiya Hosaen — the away team’s average points per match are 1.63 versus 0.94 for the hosts, and the visitors win 44% of matches compared to 18% for the home side. Additionally, the away team look stronger defensively at the break: they concede an average of 0.38 goals by Half-Time versus 0.71 for the hosts and keep a clean sheet at Half-Time in 63% of games versus 41% for the home team, which makes it easier for them to secure the match after the interval. Taking this into account I assign the highest probability to the Half-Time draw / Full-Time away win scenario (X/2 26%), followed by draw/draw (X/X 22%) and away win when leading at the break (2/2 19%), while 1/1 is rated low at 9% due to the hosts’ poor finishing.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.61 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.85 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Shire Endaselassie is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.97 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Shire Endaselassie scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.94 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shire Endaselassie
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.42 | 1.79 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shire Endaselassie 0 - 0 - 1 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 1:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.61 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.85. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 48% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hosaena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.