Sholing vs Chertsey Town: match statistics

Chertsey Town remain unbeaten in their three matches so far this season, winning twice and drawing once, while Sholing have a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The visitors have also been more prolific overall, scoring 6 goals—three times as many as Sholing’s 2. Away from home, Chertsey Town won their only match to date, kept a clean sheet and have a +1 goal difference, whereas Sholing lost their home fixture 1:2. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, but the visitors won 3 games during that period and averaged 2.0 points per match, compared with Sholing’s 2 wins and 1.6 points per game. The hosts’ home advantage is undermined by conceding 2 goals per match at home, so the more solid visitors should be considered to have the better chances.

BTTS - Yes has a slight edge, as both teams have averaged 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches. Chertsey Town conceded 1.4 goals per match during this period, while Sholing scored 1.6, which strongly supports a home goal. However, Sholing conceded just 0.8 goals per game in their last five appearances, so the visitors’ scoring efficiency remains the biggest risk to BTTS. Nevertheless, Chertsey Town are on a three-match winning streak within their last five games and scored 8 goals in total, while BTTS has landed in 60% of their recent matches, compared with 40% for Sholing. Seasonal data is very limited and inconsistent, so the scenario in which both teams score has a moderate rather than decisive edge.

The projected total of 2.20 goals is below the league average of 2.64, while Sholing’s solid defence further limits the potential for a high-scoring game, having conceded just 0.8 goals per match over their last 5 fixtures. Chertsey Town averaged 1.6 goals during this period, but their average xG was only 0.78, suggesting that part of this scoring efficiency may be difficult to sustain. In the teams’ last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 60% and 40% of cases, respectively, but neither run points to regular four-goal games. Sholing also has limited grounds for expecting a very high scoring output, as despite scoring 1.6 goals across their last 5 appearances, their season-long average xG stands at 1.28. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5: it anticipates a result within the realistic range of 1-3 goals while providing a margin against the 2.20 projection.

The strongest option is a draw at half-time followed by a Sholing win, as both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, or 60% of the time. However, Sholing have shown greater first-half potential, averaging 1.0 goals compared with Chertsey Town’s 0.4, while the visitors failed to score before half-time in their only away match of the season. After the interval, the hosts should benefit from their stronger recent defensive form, conceding just 0.2 goals per match on average, whereas Chertsey Town have allowed 1.2. Sholing’s attack has scored 1.6 goals per game across their last five matches, while the visitors’ defence has conceded 1.4, giving the hosts a solid basis to settle an even contest in the second half. The risk of a full-time draw remains high, as Sholing have drawn 40% of their recent matches, but home advantage and greater defensive stability after the break slightly favour the X/1 scenario.