Shooting Stars vs Barau: match statistics
Shooting Stars vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shooting Stars played Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Barau: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shooting Stars scores 1.11 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Barau scores 0.86 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shooting Stars 42%, Barau 31%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 36%, Barau 25%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.29. Shooting Stars: 6.8 shots per match, Barau: 4.8.
Match halves
Shooting Stars: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Barau: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shooting Stars appear to be the favorites: at home they score an average of 1.78 goals per game and concede only 0.78, with a home win rate of 78%. Barau score just 0.28 goals on the road on average, concede 1.00 and win only 6% of away matches; in 83% of their away games they fail to score. Quality of chances also favors the hosts — Shooting Stars average 11.07 shots and 3.57 on target at home with a conversion rate of 15%, while Barau average 8.62 shots and 1.92 on target with an efficiency of 4%. In terms of expected goals the hosts have xG 1.45 versus 1.02 for the visitors, and xG against is 0.77 versus 1.41, indicating Shooting Stars create more high-value chances while allowing fewer. In the last 5 matches the hosts collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) averaging 2.0 points per game, while Barau accumulated 8 points averaging 1.6; therefore I predict a home win and assign probabilities: home 75%, draw 17%, away 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No because Barau averages only 0.28 goals per match this season and fails to score in 83% of games, while the away side’s seasonal BTTS is just 17%. Shooting Stars score 1.44 goals per home game on average, have an xG of 2.08 and 5.6 shots on target, but they also keep a clean sheet in 44% of home matches and concede only 0.61 goals per game, which limits the visitors’ chance to respond. Season-to-date BTTS occurs 44% of the time for hosts and only 17% for guests, whereas the league average BTTS is 38%, so this matchup is below average for BTTS. In the last 5 matches hosts had BTTS in 60% of games and guests in 40%; however the creation advantage (xG 2.08 vs 1.02 and 5.6 vs 1.92 shots on target) favors only the home side to score, therefore I assess 75% for “No” and 25% for “Yes”.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Shooting Stars have a season goals average of 1.44 (xG 2.08) and 5.6 shots on target per game, while Barau average only 0.28 goals per game (xG 1.02) and 1.92 shots on target, giving the hosts a clear attacking edge. Matching the hosts' attacking xG of 2.08 against the visitors' defense of 1.41 yields 1.75 expected goals for the hosts, and combining the visitors' xG 1.02 with the hosts' defense 1.07 yields 1.05 for the guests; after adjusting for shot conversion rates (8% vs 4%) and historical averages I project 1.62 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.66 for Barau, total 2.28 goals. A Poisson model with mean 2.28 gives roughly a 66% probability for Over 1.5, about 40% for Over 2.5 and around 19% for Over 3.5, and additionally the last 5 matches show goal averages of 1.6 (home) and 1.2 (away), which supports the at-least-2-goal scenario. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 (home Over1.5 seasonal frequency 61% vs 50% for away) and I recommend that market as the safest play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Shooting Stars lead at the break and win) because the home side has a clear numerical advantage: the hosts’ seasonal goals per game are 1.44 versus 0.28 for the visitors, hosts’ xG is 2.08 vs 1.02 for Barau, and the hosts accumulate 2.11 points per match compared to 0.61 for the away team. At half-time Shooting Stars average 0.72 goals vs Barau’s 0.06; the hosts led at the break in 7 matches (39%) while the visitors had 0% halftime leads, which strongly favors a lead at the 45-minute mark. Additionally, the hosts average 5.6 shots on target and 16 shots per game compared to 1.92 and 8.62 for Barau, and the visitors concede 1.0 goals and 1.41 xG against on average, increasing the likelihood of maintaining and extending the lead after the break. Considering Shooting Stars win 61% of matches while Barau win only 6%, the 1/1 scenario is the strongest signal; as an alternative I consider X/1 (draw at half-time and home win later), and I estimate Barau’s overall chances of winning at about 5% due to their poor statistics.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shooting Stars | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.89 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.6 pts / match - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.86 goals / match - Barau
Barau is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.81 goals / match - Barau
Shooting Stars scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Barau scores in 44% of matches (16 of 36 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
Over / Under - Barau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.17 pts / match - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shooting Stars
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Shooting Stars | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.19 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 1 - 0 - 0 Barau. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Barau?
The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 1:0 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Barau?
Shooting Stars score 1.11 goals per game on average and Barau 0.86. The NPFL average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Shooting Stars's matches and 31% of Barau's.
What form are Shooting Stars and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Barau 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Barau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.