Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 13 September 2026

Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance: match statistics

155%(0.00)
X28%(0.00)
217%(0.00)

Shooting Stars displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and only 11% losses, making them the strong favorite. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +8 at home, scoring 13 goals in 9 matches while conceding an average of just 0.56. Bendel Insurance, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), holds a weaker away record with only 30% wins and a negative goal difference of -2 on the road. Furthermore, the visitors have failed to score in 40% of their away matches, a significant weakness. Although Bendel Insurance has a slightly higher xG (1.55 vs 1.52), Shooting Stars holds the advantage in away defense metrics (xGA 0.67 vs 1.48), which, combined with home advantage, offers a real chance of victory. Considering all factors, I predict a win for the hosts, although the visitors' form suggests they could offer stiff resistance.

Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shooting Stars played Bendel Insurance in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Shooting Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Bendel Insurance: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shooting Stars scores 0.90 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Bendel Insurance scores 1.19 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shooting Stars 33%, Bendel Insurance 48%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 24%, Bendel Insurance 24%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Bendel Insurance has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.32. Shooting Stars: 6.7 shots per match, Bendel Insurance: 9.9.

Match halves

Shooting Stars: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.43. Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52.

Goals by minute

Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bendel Insurance: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.83 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Shooting Stars displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and only 11% losses, making them the strong favorite. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +8 at home, scoring 13 goals in 9 matches while conceding an average of just 0.56. Bendel Insurance, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), holds a weaker away record with only 30% wins and a negative goal difference of -2 on the road. Furthermore, the visitors have failed to score in 40% of their away matches, a significant weakness. Although Bendel Insurance has a slightly higher xG (1.55 vs 1.52), Shooting Stars holds the advantage in away defense metrics (xGA 0.67 vs 1.48), which, combined with home advantage, offers a real chance of victory. Considering all factors, I predict a win for the hosts, although the visitors' form suggests they could offer stiff resistance.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
18Shots4
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
3Shots on target2
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
1.61xG0.59
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
4Corners6
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
38Dangerous attacks26
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
7Fouls21
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0Cards0
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.9Goals scored / match1.19
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.86Goals conceded / match0.95
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
35%Average possession40%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
2.1Shots on target / match3.62
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.71Shots per match9.95
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
2.1Shots on target3.62
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
13.5%Shot conversion12%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
35%Possession40%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
1.32xG for1.7
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
1.22xG against1.17
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Shooting quality

Shooting Stars: Counter-attackingBendel Insurance: Counter-attacking
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bendel Insurance is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 2.6 pts / match - Bendel Insurance

Shooting Stars
WWLWL
Season result split
43% W24% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-7
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Bendel Insurance
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W38% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-5
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bendel Insurance is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 1.19 goals / match - Bendel Insurance

Shooting Stars is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.95 goals / match - Bendel Insurance

Shooting Stars scoring profile: strong

Shooting Stars scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

Bendel Insurance scoring profile: strong

Bendel Insurance scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

19Goals scored (season)25
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
18Goals conceded (season)20
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
1.76Average goals in match2.14
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal71%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
24%2 goals29%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
5%3 goals19%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0%4 goals0%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
14%2 goals24%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
5%3 goals5%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0%4 goals0%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Bendel Insurance - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 21 matches
36%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time33%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
19%Scored in both halves19%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
20%BTTS - last 560%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

2nd half

52%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars - half-time state
33% leading38% draw29% trailing
Bendel Insurance - half-time state
24% leading67% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.38
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.1
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
57%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
52%No goal before half-time48%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.19
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
0.81Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
67%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance
67%No goal after half-time62%
Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Shooting Stars - second-half results

24% W57% D19% L
29
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bendel Insurance - second-half results

24% W48% D29% L
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shooting Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bendel Insurance - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Bendel Insurance
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.95
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

Bendel Insurance

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Shooting StarsLigaBendel Insurance
Average goals in match 1.761.83 2.14
Both teams scored 33%36% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%27% 24%
Clean sheets 33%38% 33%
Goal before half-time 76%62% 57%
Goal after half-time 52%58% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.83
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+116%
Home attack advantage
+54%
Home defence advantage
+44%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Shooting StarsGoalQamar Adegoke
  2. Shooting StarsSubstitutionOn: Joshua AkpanOff: Sadiq Ibrahim

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 0 - 1 - 0 Bendel Insurance. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Bendel Insurance
1 : 1
Shooting Stars

FAQ

What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?

The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 1:0 Bendel Insurance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?

Shooting Stars score 0.90 goals per game on average and Bendel Insurance 1.19. The NPFL average is 1.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Shooting Stars's matches and 48% of Bendel Insurance's.

What form are Shooting Stars and Bendel Insurance in?

Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bendel Insurance 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.