Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 12 September 2026

Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves: match statistics

Shooting Stars crest
Shooting Stars
4 : 2half-time 3:1
Warri Wolves crest
Warri Wolves
165%(0.00)
X20%(0.00)
215%(0.00)

Shooting Stars demonstrate a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive 73% win rate and a +10 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.45, which, combined with a 55% clean sheet rate, indicates a solid defense. Warri Wolves perform significantly worse in away matches – only 33% wins, 58% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors struggle to score goals away from home (averaging 0.83 per match) and end as many as 33% of matches without scoring a goal. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.54 vs 1.19), and the difference in possession (53% vs 49%) confirms their dominance at their own stadium. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Shooting Stars' home advantage is so pronounced that their victory should be expected.

Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shooting Stars played Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Shooting Stars: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Warri Wolves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shooting Stars scores 0.83 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Warri Wolves scores 0.92 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shooting Stars 29%, Warri Wolves 36%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 21%, Warri Wolves 24%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 26%.

xG, shots and style

Warri Wolves has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.31. Shooting Stars: 6.8 shots per match, Warri Wolves: 5.4.

Match halves

Shooting Stars: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.42. Warri Wolves: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (7 goals). Warri Wolves: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 26%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Shooting Stars demonstrate a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive 73% win rate and a +10 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.45, which, combined with a 55% clean sheet rate, indicates a solid defense. Warri Wolves perform significantly worse in away matches – only 33% wins, 58% defeats, and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors struggle to score goals away from home (averaging 0.83 per match) and end as many as 33% of matches without scoring a goal. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.54 vs 1.19), and the difference in possession (53% vs 49%) confirms their dominance at their own stadium. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Shooting Stars' home advantage is so pronounced that their victory should be expected.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

3 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
15Shots9
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
7Shots on target7
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
1.97xG1.54
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
10Corners12
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
73Dangerous attacks66
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
-1Fouls-1
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
-1Cards-1
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.83Goals scored / match0.92
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.88Goals conceded / match0.88
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
36%Average possession29%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
2Shots on target / match1.92
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.79Shots per match5.4
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
2Shots on target1.92
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
12.3%Shot conversion17%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
36%Possession29%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
1.31xG for1.4
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
1.18xG against1.84
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Shooting quality

Shooting Stars: Counter-attackingWarri Wolves: Counter-attacking
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
Accuracy (shots on target)29%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.26
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Warri Wolves is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.4 pts / match - Warri Wolves

Shooting Stars
WLWLL
Season result split
42% W21% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-9
1.46 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Warri Wolves
WLWLD
Season result split
36% W28% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-9
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Warri Wolves is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.92 goals / match - Warri Wolves

Shooting Stars scoring profile: mixed

Shooting Stars scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).

Warri Wolves scoring profile: strong

Warri Wolves scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

20Goals scored (season)23
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
21Goals conceded (season)22
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
1.71Average goals in match1.8
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal68%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
21%2 goals24%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
4%3 goals0%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0%4 goals0%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal56%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
17%2 goals24%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
4%3 goals4%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0%4 goals4%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time20%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
17%Scored in both halves12%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0%BTTS - last 540%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.08 pts / match - Warri Wolves

Shooting Stars - half-time state
29% leading38% draw33% trailing
Warri Wolves - half-time state
16% leading60% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.08
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.92Average goals (1st half)0.88
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
54%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
58%No goal before half-time64%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.48
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.92
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
67%Clean sheet after half-time72%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves
67%No goal after half-time56%
Shooting StarsWarri Wolves

Shooting Stars - second-half results

25% W54% D21% L
30
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Warri Wolves - second-half results

32% W52% D16% L
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shooting Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Warri Wolves - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Warri Wolves
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
6
16-30
2
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Warri Wolves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Shooting StarsLigaWarri Wolves
Average goals in match 1.711.82 1.80
Both teams scored 29%35% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%26% 24%
Clean sheets 33%39% 44%
Goal before half-time 75%59% 60%
Goal after half-time 54%60% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.82
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.56
Away goals / match
+125%
Home attack advantage
+56%
Home defence advantage
+46%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Shooting StarsGoalSadiq Ibrahim
  2. Shooting StarsGoalLucky Emmanuel
  3. Shooting StarsGoalStephen Amos

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 1 - 0 - 0 Warri Wolves. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Warri Wolves
1 : 2
Shooting Stars

FAQ

What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves?

The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 4:2 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves?

Shooting Stars score 0.83 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.92. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Shooting Stars's matches and 36% of Warri Wolves's.

What form are Shooting Stars and Warri Wolves in?

Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Warri Wolves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves?

The statistical background for Shooting Stars vs Warri Wolves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.