Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan: match statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sichuan Jiuniu played Beijing Guoan in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sichuan Jiuniu: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Beijing Guoan: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.67 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Beijing Guoan scores 1.00 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sichuan Jiuniu 50%, Beijing Guoan 67%. Over 2.5: Sichuan Jiuniu 50%, Beijing Guoan 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Beijing Guoan has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.32. Sichuan Jiuniu: 12.3 shots per match, Beijing Guoan: 11.2.
Match halves
Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Beijing Guoan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Sichuan Jiuniu: 31-45+ (4 goals). Beijing Guoan: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win: Sichuan Jiuniu holds a clear offensive advantage at home — averaging 3.0 goals scored per match, 17 shots and 5.67 on target with xG 1.80, while Beijing Guoan away averages 1.0 goal, 11.25 shots, 3.5 on target and xG 1.42. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 9 goals versus 4 by the visitors, and Sichuan has no clean-sheet-less matches at home (0% such games), increasing the likelihood of them scoring. Defence gives the visitors some edge — Beijing concedes only 1.0 goal away and has 50% clean sheets on the road, whereas Sichuan concedes 2.0 goals at home and the hosts have let in 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Summing form and quality of chances, Sichuan has 1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches versus 0.4 for Beijing, and shot efficiency favors the hosts (conversion 18% vs 9%), giving them a real advantage in creating goal opportunities. Therefore I assign 60% probability to a Sichuan win, 20% to a draw and 20% to a Beijing win — the offensive edge and absence of goalless home games for the hosts should outweigh the visitors’ better but less threatening defence.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis indicates a higher probability of BTTS (both teams to score). Sichuan Jiuniu has a seasonal BTTS of 100% and has kept no clean sheets at home (0%), indicating a strong trend of opponents scoring in their matches. Beijing Guoan has a seasonal BTTS of 50%, but recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches; in those five games the visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded 1.4 goals, which favors goal exchange. Additionally, the visitors generate higher xG (1.42 vs 1.22 for the hosts) and register more shots on target (3.5 vs 2.5), with the same conversion rate of 9%, and the hosts concede on average 1.5 goals per match this season (vs 1.0 for the visitors), all of which increases the chance of both teams scoring. Considering the league BTTS rate of 56% and recent form, I assign the 'both teams to score' scenario a 70% probability and recommend the 'BTTS - Yes' selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and seasonal statistics indicate balanced goal potential: home xG 1.22 and away xG 1.42, with xG against 1.13 (Sichuan) and 1.33 (Beijing) yielding expected goals of about 1.28 per team and a total ≈2.56. This season Sichuan has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals and Beijing 75%, directly translating to a high probability for Over 1.5 (hence the 90% estimate for Over 1.5). For the 2.5 line both teams have 50% of matches above 2.5 goals this season, the league average is 54%, and our expected total of 2.56 gives a moderate edge to Over 2.5 (I estimated 57%). Over 3.5 is virtually absent statistically (0% season for both sides), so Under 3.5 is dominant (priced at 95%). Additionally, BTTS for the home side is 100% and for the away side 50%, while shots on target figures 2.5 vs 3.5 and recent 5-match goal averages Sichuan 1.8 and Beijing 0.8 support a 2–3 goal scenario, which justifies selecting Over 1.5 as the optimal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season-long metrics indicate that the home side led at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 50.0) and average 0.5 goals by Half-Time while conceding 0.0 (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.5, concededAVGHT_home = 0.0), suggesting first-half dominance. However, in the second half the home team concedes an average of 1.5 goals (conceded_2hg_avg_home = 1.5) and have earned no points in second halves (points_2hg_home = 0.0), whereas the away side scores on average 0.75 goals after the break and has collected 7 points in those periods (scored_2hg_avg_away = 0.75, points_2hg_away = 7.0). Additionally, the visitors possess a higher xG per match of 1.42 versus 1.22 for the hosts (xg_for_avg_away = 1.42 vs xg_for_avg_home = 1.22) and average 3.5 shots on target per game compared to 2.5 (shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 3.5 vs shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 2.5), giving them a qualitative advantage after the break. Consequently, the strongest scenario is the home team leading at Half-Time with a visitor turnaround to win by Full-Time (HT/FT 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 0.4 pts / match - Beijing Guoan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1 goals / match - Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.17 goals / match - Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Beijing Guoan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Beijing Guoan scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
Over / Under - Beijing Guoan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beijing Guoan is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.5 pts / match - Beijing Guoan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Beijing Guoan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Liga | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sichuan Jiuniu 1 - 0 - 1 Beijing Guoan. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
The Chinese Super League match finished Sichuan Jiuniu 0:1 Beijing Guoan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Beijing Guoan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 1, Beijing Guoan won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.67 goals per game on average and Beijing Guoan 1.00. The Chinese Super League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sichuan Jiuniu's matches and 67% of Beijing Guoan's.
What form are Sichuan Jiuniu and Beijing Guoan in?
Over the last 5 games Sichuan Jiuniu have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Beijing Guoan 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.