Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon: match statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sichuan Jiuniu played Qingdao Jonoon in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sichuan Jiuniu: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Qingdao Jonoon: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.21 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Qingdao Jonoon scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sichuan Jiuniu 57%, Qingdao Jonoon 64%. Over 2.5: Sichuan Jiuniu 43%, Qingdao Jonoon 57%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Qingdao Jonoon has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.22. Sichuan Jiuniu: 11.4 shots per match, Qingdao Jonoon: 11.9.
Match halves
Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.43. Qingdao Jonoon: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Sichuan Jiuniu: 31-45+ (5 goals). Qingdao Jonoon: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu scores an average of 1.71 goals per home match (xG 1.41) and concedes 1.43, while Qingdao Jonoon away averages 1.14 goals scored (xG 1.29) and concedes 2.00 goals, which favors the hosts. The hosts register 13.86 shots per match with 3.71 on target and have higher shot efficiency (12% vs 9%), whereas the visitors have 12.14 shots and also 3.71 on target, i.e. lower efficiency with a similar number of shots on target. Defensively Qingdao away is weak: they concede 2.00 goals on average, have no clean sheets (0%) and lose 71% of away matches, while Sichuan at home has 29% clean sheets and a positive goal difference (+2). In the last 5 matches Qingdao scored 9 and conceded 9 goals (2 wins, 3 losses, 1.2 points per match), and Sichuan in that period scored 5 and conceded 6 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 1.0 point per match), indicating greater instability of the visitors despite a more active offense. Considering the better efficiency and stability of the hosts at home I assign 60% chance to Sichuan win, 22% to draw and 18% to Qingdao victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong signals for BTTS: Sichuan has a seasonal BTTS rate of 57%, Qingdao 71%, with the league average at 63%; in the last 5 matches both teams had BTTS at 80%. Qingdao has recorded no clean sheets this season (0% CS) and concedes on average 2.0 goals per game, while Sichuan concedes 1.14 goals seasonally and 1.2 in the last 5 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams generate similar offensive xG at 1.29 seasonally, with xG against of 1.46 for Sichuan and 1.70 for Qingdao; additionally, shots on target are 3.86 vs 3.71, so genuine scoring opportunities are likely from both sides. Sichuan is also more efficient in conversion (15% vs 9%), and average goals 1.71 (Sichuan) and 1.14 (Qingdao) confirm offensive potential; combining these data, the scenario of both teams scoring appears dominant. Therefore I predict BTTS - Yes at 80% and No at 20% as the best play.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.60 goals for Sichuan Jiuniu and 1.35 for Qingdao Jonoon, totaling approximately 2.95 goals. This figure is derived by averaging offensive and defensive metrics: the home side scores 1.71 goals per match while the opponent concedes 2.00 (average (1.71+2.00)/2 ≈1.86); home xG is 1.29 versus Qingdao’s xG conceded of 1.70, which yields the adjusted 1.60 for the hosts. Qingdao’s season averages are 1.14 goals scored and xG_for 1.29, while Sichuan concedes 1.14 goals on average with xG_against 1.46, supporting the 1.35 projection for the visitors. Season-wide Over 2.5 occurred in 57% of matches for both teams combined, and BTTS is 57% for Sichuan and 71% for Qingdao, confirming the likelihood of both sides scoring. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.95 produces ~79% probability for Over 1.5, ~57% for Over 2.5 and ~34% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sichuan is strong in the first half — they led at the break in 4 matches, which is 57.0% (leadingAtHT_home 4.0; leadingAtHTPercentage_home 57.0), whereas Qingdao have led at half-time on the road only once (leadingAtHT_away 1.0; leadingAtHTPercentage_away 14.0). The hosts average 0.86 goals before the break and concede none in that period (scoredAVGHT_home 0.86; concededAVGHT_home 0.0), while the visitors average only 0.14 goals before half-time and concede 1.0 on average (scoredAVGHT_away 0.14; concededAVGHT_away 1.0). Over the season Sichuan win 57.0% of matches and have a higher shot conversion rate of 15.0% versus Qingdao’s 9.0%, and both teams have similar xG of 1.29, suggesting the home advantage stems from greater finishing efficiency (xg_for_avg_home 1.29; xg_for_avg_away 1.29; shot_conversion_rate_home 15.0; shot_conversion_rate_away 9.0). The visitors, however, have worse underlying defence in expected goals against (xg_against_avg_away 1.7 vs xg_against_avg_home 1.46) and concede 2.0 goals per match on average this season (seasonConcededAVG_away 2.0), so the probability that Sichuan will hold a lead at the break is elevated. Based on this I tip 1/1 as the strongest signal (42%), with X/1 as the second choice (15%), which also correlates with HTPoints_home 15 vs HTPoints_away 6 and HTPPG_home 2.14 vs HTPPG_away 0.86.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qingdao Jonoon is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.2 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qingdao Jonoon is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.43 goals / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Qingdao Jonoon keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Qingdao Jonoon scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
Over / Under - Qingdao Jonoon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qingdao Jonoon is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.5 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qingdao Jonoon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Liga | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 2.98 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 68% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 88% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sichuan Jiuniu 2 - 0 - 0 Qingdao Jonoon. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
The Chinese Super League match finished Sichuan Jiuniu 3:2 Qingdao Jonoon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Jonoon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 2, Qingdao Jonoon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.21 goals per game on average and Qingdao Jonoon 1.43. The Chinese Super League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sichuan Jiuniu's matches and 64% of Qingdao Jonoon's.
What form are Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Jonoon in?
Over the last 5 games Sichuan Jiuniu have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Qingdao Jonoon 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
The statistical background for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.