Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: match statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sichuan Jiuniu played Shandong Luneng in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sichuan Jiuniu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Shandong Luneng: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.30 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Shandong Luneng scores 1.60 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sichuan Jiuniu 50%, Shandong Luneng 70%. Over 2.5: Sichuan Jiuniu 40%, Shandong Luneng 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Shandong Luneng has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.19. Sichuan Jiuniu: 11.1 shots per match, Shandong Luneng: 14.5.
Match halves
Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.50. Shandong Luneng: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Sichuan Jiuniu: 31-45+ (5 goals). Shandong Luneng: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu score on average 2.0 goals and concede 1.4 at home with an xG of 1.46 and a positive home goal difference (+3), whereas Shandong Luneng score 1.0 and concede 2.25 on the road with a negative away goal difference (-5). The hosts average 14.2 shots per match with 4.2 on target and a 14% conversion rate, while the visitors average 9.75 shots and 3 on target with a 10% conversion, indicating a clear home advantage in both quantity and quality of chances. In the last 5 matches Sichuan have scored 3 goals and average 0.8 points per game, while Shandong have scored 9 goals and average 1.6 points per game but have conceded 8, highlighting defensive instability for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts have a 60% win rate at home and 40% clean sheets, whereas the visitors have a 50% win rate away but also a 50% loss rate, which further shifts the edge to Sichuan. Based on this, I forecast a home win with estimated probabilities: home 60%, draw 20%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (75%) — seasonal and league signals favor both teams scoring. Sichuan posts a seasonal BTTS of 83%, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, indicating frequent goal exchange at home. Shandong has a seasonal BTTS of 50% but a 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.6 conceded in those fixtures, so the visitors are consistently contributing offensively. Average xG is 1.87 for Sichuan and 1.19 for Shandong, with xG conceded 1.08 and 1.33 respectively; additionally shots 17.67 vs 9.75 and shots on target 5.5 vs 3.0 demonstrate genuine scoring opportunities for both sides. Low clean sheet percentages (17% and 25%) and a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 75%) reinforce the BTTS expectation, despite Sichuan scoring only 0.6 goals and registering a 40% BTTS in the last 5 matches — overall the signals favor 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and statistical analysis suggest a combined 2.74 expected goals: I assign the home side 1.60 xG (home xG 1.87 and xG against opponent 1.33, yielding 1.60) and the away side 1.14 xG (away xG 1.19 and xG against home 1.08, yielding 1.14). Season-long stats show Sichuan score 2.0 goals at home on average and have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, while Shandong score 1.0 away and have 75% of such matches; therefore Over 1.5 looks like the strongest signal (I estimate ~88% probability). For the 2.5 line, season Over rates are 67%/75% (home/away) i.e. ~71% on average, but the last 5 matches reduce confidence — Sichuan 3 goals in 5 (avg. 0.6), Shandong 9 goals in 5 (avg. 1.8) — hence Over 2.5 around 60%. Shot metrics confirm the tendency: Sichuan average 17.67 shots and 5.5 on target with 11% conversion, Shandong 9.75 and 3.0 with 10%, which favors 2–3 goals but limits the probability of 4+ goals. As a result I recommend backing Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5), with expected goals 1.60 home / 1.14 away (total 2.74).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Offensive metrics clearly favor the home side: Sichuan has an xG of 1.87 versus Shandong’s 1.19, averaging 17.67 shots (5.5 on target) compared to 9.75 (3.0 on target) and a conversion rate of 11% versus 10%, indicating greater pressure from Sichuan. At half-time the hosts average 0.67 goals and the visitors 0.25, but in their last five matches Sichuan were level at the break in 80% (4 of 5), so a draw at half-time is realistic. In the second half Sichuan consistently improves: they score after the break in 100% of matches and win the second half in 83% of cases, which increases the probability of a Full-Time victory. Seasonally the home side average 2.0 goals scored versus Shandong’s 1.0 and concede 1.0 instead of the visitors’ 2.25, therefore the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of draw at the break and home win (X/1) appears most likely and I assign it approximately a 32% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shandong Luneng is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.6 pts / match - Shandong Luneng
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shandong Luneng is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.6 goals / match - Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.5 goals / match - Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Shandong Luneng keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Shandong Luneng scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
Over / Under - Shandong Luneng
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1 pts / match - Shandong Luneng
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shandong Luneng - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Liga | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sichuan Jiuniu 0 - 0 - 2 Shandong Luneng. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
The Chinese Super League match finished Sichuan Jiuniu 1:2 Shandong Luneng. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shandong Luneng?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 0, Shandong Luneng won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.30 goals per game on average and Shandong Luneng 1.60. The Chinese Super League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sichuan Jiuniu's matches and 70% of Shandong Luneng's.
What form are Sichuan Jiuniu and Shandong Luneng in?
Over the last 5 games Sichuan Jiuniu have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Shandong Luneng 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.