Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar: match statistics
Sidama Bunna are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats. The hosts boast excellent home form with a 63% win rate at home and as many as 88% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 0.13 goals per match in front of their own fans. Bahardar, however, show significant offensive struggles on the road, scoring an average of just 0.5 goals per game and failing to score in 63% of their away matches. The difference in xG quality (1.35 for Sidama Bunna vs 0.97 for Bahardar) along with the advantage in shots on target (3.25 vs 1.75) further confirms the hosts' dominance. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the goal difference (+9 vs -2) point to a clear victory for Sidama Bunna.
Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sidama Bunna played Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sidama Bunna: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bahardar: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sidama Bunna scores 1.35 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.65 and concedes 0.59. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sidama Bunna 35%, Bahardar 29%. Over 2.5: Sidama Bunna 29%, Bahardar 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Sidama Bunna has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.15. Sidama Bunna: 8.2 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.0.
Match halves
Sidama Bunna: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Bahardar: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Sidama Bunna: 16-30 (5 goals). Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sidama Bunna are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats. The hosts boast excellent home form with a 63% win rate at home and as many as 88% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 0.13 goals per match in front of their own fans. Bahardar, however, show significant offensive struggles on the road, scoring an average of just 0.5 goals per game and failing to score in 63% of their away matches. The difference in xG quality (1.35 for Sidama Bunna vs 0.97 for Bahardar) along with the advantage in shots on target (3.25 vs 1.75) further confirms the hosts' dominance. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the goal difference (+9 vs -2) point to a clear victory for Sidama Bunna.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sidama Bunna | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sidama Bunna is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.4 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.65 goals / match - Bahardar
Sidama Bunna is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.53 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.59 goals / match - Bahardar
Sidama Bunna scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).
Bahardar scores in 41% of matches (7 of 17 matches), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sidama Bunna
Over / Under - Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.06 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sidama Bunna
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sidama Bunna | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.88 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sidama BunnaGoalMesfin Tafesse
FAQ
What was the result of Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sidama Bunna 1:1 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
Sidama Bunna score 1.35 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.65. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Sidama Bunna's matches and 29% of Bahardar's.
What form are Sidama Bunna and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Sidama Bunna have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bahardar 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


