Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sidama Bunna played Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sidama Bunna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sidama Bunna scores 1.13 and concedes 0.61 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.87 and concedes 1.03. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sidama Bunna 32%, Hadiya Hosaena 52%. Over 2.5: Sidama Bunna 26%, Hadiya Hosaena 29%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Sidama Bunna has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.04. Sidama Bunna: 7.9 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 5.8.
Match halves
Sidama Bunna: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Sidama Bunna: 76-90+ (9 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Sidama Bunna holds a significant home advantage: 1st in the home table, winning 53% of home matches and a +11 home goal difference, scoring 35 goals this season versus Hadiya’s 27. The hosts’ defense is particularly convincing — only 0.40 goals conceded per home match on average and 73% clean sheets at home, while Hadiya concedes 0.73 on the road and posts 47% clean sheets. Offensively Sidama creates more chances: home xG 1.24, 7.53 shots per match and 3 on target, versus Hadiya’s xG 1.00, 5.2 shots and 1.87 on target, translating to a slightly better conversion 15% vs 14%. Last 5 matches show a small form gap (Sidama 1.4 points per game vs Hadiya 1.2), but the defensive edge and superior chance creation favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No with a 60% confidence vs 40%. Sidama has a season home BTTS rate of 69% and xG_for 1.07 (vs Hadiya xG_for 1.00), but in the last 5 home matches the hosts show 0% BTTS and concede only 0.4 goals on average, indicating defensive improvement. Hadiya away have a season BTTS of 33% and keep a clean sheet in 47% of matches, which substantially reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, season goal averages are 1.0 for Sidama and 0.73 for Hadiya, with average goals conceded 1.31 vs 0.73, so the combined match dynamics and current defensive form favor a No Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects a total of 2.35 expected goals: 1.18 for Sidama (Sidama xG 1.07; Hadiya concedes 1.28 xG on average) and 1.17 for Hadiya (Hadiya xG 1.00; Sidama concedes 1.35 xG). Sidama score 1.0 goal at home on average and have 81% of matches over 1.5 goals, while Hadiya average 0.73 goals and only 40% of such games, which together raises the probability of Over 1.5 to roughly 68% (Under ~32%). Additionally, Sidama have 69% home games with both teams scoring, register 2.38 shots on target per game versus Hadiya’s 1.87, and the season goal record is 35-19 for Sidama vs 27-32 for Hadiya, indicating a home attacking edge and visitor vulnerability. The 2.5 line gives a weaker signal (Over ~42% vs Under ~58%) and 3.5 is unlikely (Over ~21% vs Under ~79%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time: the home side have been level at the break in 56% of matches, while the visitors have been level at half-time in 53% of their away games; hosts led at the break in only 6% of matches versus 20% for the visitors. After the break I favor a Hadiya Hosaena victory — the visitors have a 40% win rate this season compared to Sidama’s 19% and average 1.53 points per game versus the home side’s 0.94; additionally the visitors have accumulated 17 points at half-time compared to the hosts’ 12 and average 1.13 points by halftime versus 0.75 for the hosts. The visitors’ defense looks more solid: Hadiya concede an average of 0.73 goals per match compared to Sidama’s 1.31, and the visitors keep a clean sheet in 47% of matches versus 13% for the home team, which increases the chance of a turnaround in the second half. Half-time statistics show the home side score more frequently before the break (scoredAVGHT 0.44 vs 0.33 for the visitors) but also concede more (concededAVGHT 0.75 vs 0.40), so the most sensible scenario is a draw after 45 minutes and a visitors’ victory after 90 minutes (HT/FT: X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sidama Bunna | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sidama Bunna is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.87 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Sidama Bunna is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.61 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.03 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Sidama Bunna scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 55% (17 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sidama Bunna
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.94 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sidama Bunna
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sidama Bunna | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.80 | • 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 41% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sidama Bunna 1 - 0 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sidama Bunna 0:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Sidama Bunna score 1.13 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.87. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Sidama Bunna's matches and 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Sidama Bunna and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Sidama Bunna have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The statistical background for Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.