Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya: match statistics

Mekelakeya sit 1st in the table and have won all 3 of their away matches so far, while Sidama Bunna are 18th and lost their only home match. In their last 5 games, the visitors have recorded 3 wins and conceded 2 goals, while the hosts have won once and conceded 5. Away from home, Mekelakeya average 1.67 goals and 4.5 shots on target per match; Sidama have yet to score at home and have managed just 1 shot on target. Average xG stands at 1.55 for the visitors away and 1.38 for the hosts at home, suggesting Sidama can create chances, even though they have yet to convert them. The visitors’ attacking efficiency and their average of just 0.33 goals conceded away from home point to a Mekelakeya win.

The strongest signal points to Sidama Bunna failing to score: they average 0 goals at home, register just 1 shot on target per match, and have yet to score in any such fixture. Mekelakeya concede an average of 0.33 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of those matches, further limiting the hosts' chances. Over their last five matches, Sidama averaged 0.6 goals, while the visitors conceded 0.4; matches involving the two teams ended with both sides scoring in 0% and 20% of cases, respectively. The visitors have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.55 compared with the hosts' 0.89, but a BTTS - Yes bet also requires Sidama to score. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).

In their last 5 matches, Sidama Bunna averaged 1.6 total goals, while Mekelakeya averaged 1.4; in both cases, only 20% of matches went over 2.5 goals. The hosts scored 0.6 goals per match over this period, while the visitors conceded just 0.4, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Mekelakeya have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.55 compared with the hosts’ 0.89, but the league average is just 1.73 goals per match. Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, as at least 4 goals are needed for the bet to lose, and both teams’ average total goals across their last 5 matches were well below that mark.

The strongest signal is Mekelakeya leading at the break and holding on to the lead until full time: the visitors were ahead at half-time in 2 of their 3 away matches and won all 3. Sidama Bunna were level at the break in their only included home match but went on to lose, so a half-time draw remains a meaningful alternative. The visitors’ advantage is also reflected in their average attacking xG of 1.55 compared with the hosts’ 0.89, as well as 4.5 shots on target per match versus 1.0. In their last 5 matches, Mekelakeya averaged 2.0 points per game, while Sidama Bunna averaged 0.8; the hosts were trailing at half-time in 3 of those 5 matches. The small sample of home and away matches limits confidence in the forecast, but the visitors’ advantage both before the break and in full-time results points to a 2/2 scenario.